Joey Slye or Wil Lutz: Who Should You Start?

Slye vs. Lutz: Same Rank, Same Points, Opposite Reasons to Trust Neither Much

Both kickers sit at K20 with an identical 7.6 projection, so this comes down to how each offense gets him his points rather than who's the better leg. Slye plays for the team with the fatter implied total and the better spread, which should mean more possessions and more scoring chances overall. Lutz's offense stalls in the red zone almost 50% more often, though, which paradoxically means more of those Denver possessions end in a kick rather than a touchdown — offsetting Tennessee's bigger scoreboard number. Neither situation is strong enough to clear the sit line, and the two competing signals largely cancel each other out.

What flips it: A late line move that shrinks Tennessee's spread advantage would erase Slye's scoring-volume edge and tip this to Lutz.

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Head-to-head stats

Signal breakdown

• 7.6 vs 7.6 projected PPR pointsWil Lutz +
• Rank 20 vs 20Wil Lutz +
• 1.9 vs 1.9 projected attemptsJoey Slye +
• 0.9 vs 1.4 red-zone stalls per gameWil Lutz +
• Kicking weathereven
• Implied 21.3 vs 20.0 team pointsJoey Slye +
• No injury designationseven

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Week 1244 players

ALLRBWRTEQBKD/STFLEX

Player A

K · Joey Slye

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Player B

K · Wil Lutz

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