Jason Myers or Wil Lutz: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Myers — the weather and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Jason Myers kicks in the friendlier conditions (5 mph wind, overcast to Lutz's 15 mph wind, clear) and projects 9.4 to Lutz's 7.6. No signal favors Lutz this week. The gap is wide.

Jason Myers

Jason Myers

K19SEAvs NE

Projected Points

Start
Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz

K19DENvs KC

Projected Points

Sit

Why Jason Myers

Start

Veteran starting kicker. Long-tenured, high-volume leg with proven range.

Start — K19 by consensus, projects K5 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.4 pts projected vs NE.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 2.3 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • SEA's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has SEA at 24 points as 3.5-point favorites.

Latest on Myers

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Wil Lutz

Sit

Veteran starting placekicker. Reliable leg with altitude experience on long-range attempts.

Sit — K19 by consensus, projects K24 this week: 15 mph wind at kickoff, and 1.4 red-zone stalls a game.

  • 15 mph wind at kickoff — a real drag on long tries.
  • 1.9 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
  • DEN's offense stalls in the red zone 1.4 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has DEN at 20 points as 2.5-point dogs.

Head-to-head stats

MetricJason MyersWil Lutz
Projected points
Consensus rankK19K19
Projected FG attempts2.31.9
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.4(2025)
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoff15 mph wind forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread24.0-3.520.0+2.5
Field-goal %85.4%(2025)87.5%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1

Signal breakdown

  • 9.4 vs 7.6 projected PPR pointsJason Myers +
  • Rank 19 vs 19Jason Myers +
  • 2.3 vs 1.9 projected attemptsJason Myers +
  • 1.6 vs 1.4 red-zone stalls per gameJason Myers +
  • 5 mph, 75°F, overcast vs 15 mph, 92°F, clearJason Myers +
  • Implied 24.0 vs 20.0 team pointsJason Myers +
  • No injury designationseven

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