Jason Myers or Matt Gay: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Myers — the projection and red-zone opportunity edges are too wide to ignore.

Jason Myers projects 9.4 to Gay's 8.1 and gets more red-zone stalls to kick from (1.6 to 1.2 per game). Gay's edge is the consensus rank, K18 to K19. The gap is narrow.

Jason Myers

Jason Myers

K19SEAvs NE

Projected Points

Start
Matt Gay

Matt Gay

K18LVvs MIA

Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Why Jason Myers

Start

Veteran starting kicker. Long-tenured, high-volume leg with proven range.

Start — K19 by consensus, projects K5 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.4 pts projected vs NE.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 2.3 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • SEA's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has SEA at 24 points as 3.5-point favorites.

Latest on Myers

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Matt Gay

Toss-Up· medium

Veteran starting K with big-leg range and an 84.3% career mark, coming off a shaky 13-of-19 season in Washington before a midseason move to San Francisco.

Dome and 1.2 red-zone stalls per game keep him usable, but K19 with 74% accuracy is below the 12-team starter line — stream a better-implied-total leg if available.

  • Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
  • 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • LV's offense stalls in the red zone 1.2 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has LV at 22.3 points as 3-point favorites.

The call

  • The setup is clean: indoor game with no weather risk, PK1 with no designation, and a 22.3 implied team total as a 3-point favorite — that's enough volume for 2.1 attempts and 2.2 extra points.
  • His offense stalling 1.2 times per game inside the red zone is exactly what feeds kicker scoring, and he has 50-plus makes in 4 games with a long of 56, so the range is there.
  • The drag is efficiency and tier: 74% (17/23) accuracy means the 1.7 makes on 2.1 tries is optimistic, and a K19 rank on 8.1 projected points sits outside the top 12 starters.
  • Tiebreaker: if you have a dome kicker on an offense with a higher implied total, play him; if Gay is your best available leg, the indoor floor is fine.

Head-to-head stats

MetricJason MyersMatt Gay
Projected points
Consensus rankK19K18
Projected FG attempts2.32.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.2(2025)
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoffIndoors, no weather risk
Implied total · spread24.0-3.522.3-3.0
Field-goal %85.4%(2025)73.9%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record—0–0+1 toss-up

Signal breakdown

  • 9.4 vs 8.1 projected PPR pointsJason Myers +
  • Rank 19 vs 18Matt Gay +
  • 2.3 vs 2.1 projected attemptsJason Myers +
  • 1.6 vs 1.2 red-zone stalls per gameJason Myers +
  • 5 mph, 75°F, overcast vs domeeven
  • Implied 24.0 vs 22.3 team pointsJason Myers +
  • No injury designationseven

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