Jason Myers or Trey Smack: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Myers — the projection and attempt volume edges are too wide to ignore.

Jason Myers projects 9.4 to Smack's 8.2 and projects for more attempts (2.3 to 2.0). Smack's edge is the consensus rank, K17 to K19. The gap is narrow.

Jason Myers

Jason Myers

K19SEAvs NE

Projected Points

Start
Trey Smack

Trey Smack

K17GBvs MIN

Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Why Jason Myers

Start

Veteran starting kicker. Long-tenured, high-volume leg with proven range.

Start — K19 by consensus, projects K5 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.4 pts projected vs NE.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 2.3 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • SEA's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has SEA at 24 points as 3.5-point favorites.

Latest on Myers

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Trey Smack

Toss-Up· medium

Rookie starting placekicker with a strong leg. Long-range kickoff and field-goal ability; no NFL regular-season sample yet.

Dome game and 1.5 red-zone stalls per game keep Smack usable, but K18 with a 23.0 implied total is replacement-level — stream a top-12 leg if one is free.

  • Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
  • 2.0 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • GB's offense stalls in the red zone 1.5 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has GB at 23 points as 1.5-point favorites.

The call

  • 8.2 projected points on 2.0 FG attempts and 2.2 extra points is a fine floor, but K18 in a 12-team league means he's outside the every-week starter tier.
  • Indoors with no weather risk removes the biggest kicker variable, and 1.5 red-zone stalls per game means this offense regularly hands him field-goal tries.
  • A 23.0 implied total in a 1.5-point game caps the upside — no blowout script either way, so he's living on 3-4 scoring chances.
  • He's the locked-in PK1 with no designation, so this is purely a question of whether a kicker attached to a higher-implied-total offense is sitting on your waiver wire.

Head-to-head stats

MetricJason MyersTrey Smack
Projected points
Consensus rankK19K17
Projected FG attempts2.32.0
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.5(2025)
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoffIndoors, no weather risk
Implied total · spread24.0-3.523.0-1.5
Field-goal %85.4%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record00+1 toss-up

Signal breakdown

  • 9.4 vs 8.2 projected PPR pointsJason Myers +
  • Rank 19 vs 17Trey Smack +
  • 2.3 vs 2.0 projected attemptsJason Myers +
  • 1.6 vs 1.5 red-zone stalls per gameJason Myers +
  • 5 mph, 75°F, overcast vs domeeven
  • Implied 24.0 vs 23.0 team pointsJason Myers +
  • No injury designationseven

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