Harrison Mevis or Nick Folk: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Mevis: the scoring environment gives him the better kicker floor

Start Harrison Mevis because the field-goal workload is essentially even, while Los Angeles offers a much stronger path to extra points and scoring chances. That makes his advantage meaningful rather than cosmetic, especially with a dome removing weather variance and a high-confidence PK1 role. Nick Folk has the superior accuracy and deeper proven range, so he remains a credible fallback if Atlanta exceeds expectations offensively. The risk with Mevis is his limited career sample, not his current role or game environment.

What flips it: A sharp downgrade to Los Angeles’ scoring outlook or a role change for Mevis.

AI editor

Harrison Mevis

Harrison Mevis

K6LARvs NYG

Projected Points

Start· high
Nick Folk

Nick Folk

K17ATLvs CAR

Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium
NYG@
LARMon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
CAR@
ATLSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Harrison Mevis

Start· high

Starting K with strong leg. Big-distance range on field goals; limited career sample.

K6 in a dome with a 28.5 implied total and 1.8 FGs plus 3.3 XPs projected — 92% accuracy and PK1 lock make this an easy K slot.

  • The Rams’ scoring outlook should turn an even field-goal workload into more dependable total production.
  • A dome and PK1 status remove the two easiest ways for a kicker’s opportunity to disappear.

The call

  • Dome game means zero weather risk, and the 28.5 implied team total as an 8.5-point favorite points to a high-volume scoring day with 3.3 projected extra points.
  • 1.6 red-zone stalls per game keeps the field-goal pipeline full — 2.1 attempts projected with 1.8 makes, right in line with his 92% (12/13) accuracy.
  • PK1 with no injury designation and a 52-yard long: the job is locked and the range extends past 50 if needed.
  • K6 at 9.5 projected points clears any replacement-level streamer in a 12-team league.

Why Nick Folk

Toss-Up· medium

Veteran starting kicker. Reliable accuracy and long-track-record consistency in the field-goal role.

K17 sits just outside the 12-team starter line: 97% accuracy and a weather-proof roof are great, but 23.0 implied total and 2.2 XPs cap the ceiling.

  • Folk’s veteran consistency and 58-yard range give him more ways to score when Atlanta stalls outside the red zone.
  • His accuracy makes the lower offensive ceiling less damaging than the raw projection gap suggests.

The call

  • The environment is as clean as it gets — retractable roof with a calm forecast either way, so no wind or precipitation risk on the 2.1 projected attempts.
  • Folk is the locked-in PK1 with no designation and elite leg reliability: 97% (28/29) with a 58-yard long and 50-plus makes in 6 games, so the attempts he gets should convert.
  • The volume math is the problem: a 23.0 implied team total and just 2.2 projected extra points put the ceiling near the 8.6 projection, and 1.2 red-zone stalls per game is only average TD-to-FG conversion leakage.
  • Consensus K17 means five kickers ranked above him are also on waivers in most 12-team leagues — if a replacement has a higher implied total, play that kicker; otherwise Folk's floor is perfectly usable.

Head-to-head stats

MetricHarrison MevisNick Folk
Projected points
Consensus rankK6K17
Projected FG attempts2.12.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.2(2025)
Kicking conditionsIndoors, no weather riskRetractable roof, calm forecast either way
Implied total · spread28.5-8.523.0-1.5
Field-goal %92.3%(2025)96.6%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record—0–0+1 toss-up

Recent form

Harrison Mevis — last 1 week

Week 1vs SF

Nick Folk — last 1 week

Week 1vs PIT

Signal breakdown

  • 9.4 vs 8.6 projected PPR pointsHarrison Mevis +
  • Rank 6 vs 17Harrison Mevis +
  • 2.1 vs 2.1 projected attemptseven
  • 1.6 vs 1.2 red-zone stalls per gameHarrison Mevis +
  • dome vs 5 mph, 87°F, cleareven
  • Implied 28.5 vs 23.0 team pointsHarrison Mevis +
  • No injury designationseven

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