Harrison Butker or Jason Myers: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Jason Myers, with Butker's dome floor keeping the gap narrow

Start Myers: at kicker, a one-point projection edge matters, and his stronger consensus standing plus slightly greater attempt outlook back it up. Butker remains a start; Kansas City's red-zone stalls create direct field-goal chances, while the dome protects him from weather variance. With the teams' scoring outlooks close, Myers' lead is real but not comfortable, and the open-air forecast is the main risk to his call.

What flips it: A materially worse wind forecast for Myers.

AI editor

Harrison Butker

Harrison Butker

K10KCvs LV

Projected Points

Start· medium
Jason Myers

Jason Myers

K4SEAvs LAC

Projected Points

Start

Why Harrison Butker

Start· medium

Veteran starting kicker with big-leg range. Proven under postseason pressure.

K10 with a 24.5 implied total, dome conditions and 2.0 red-zone stalls per game gives Butker a steady floor as a 5.5-point favorite.

  • Butker's big-leg range can turn stalled drives from well outside the red zone into scoring chances.
  • The dome removes weather as a source of missed opportunity.

The call

  • Volume: projected for 1.8 FG made on 2.1 attempts plus 2.7 extra points. The offense's 2.0 red-zone stalls per game (3-game sample) keeps field-goal chances coming.
  • Conditions: an indoor dome removes weather risk. His 87% accuracy (33/38) and 50-plus makes in 5 games with a 59 long mean distance won't cap his upside.
  • Game script: as a -5.5 favorite with a 24.5 implied total, KC should be moving the ball and scoring consistently.
  • Risks: the K10 rank and 8.8 projection make him a solid starter, not an elite one. The stall rate rests on only 3 games, so a touchdown-heavy day could squeeze his FG attempts. That's why confidence is medium, but he still beats a typical replacement kicker.

Latest on Butker

VideoESPN · Sep 21, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Jason Myers

Start

Veteran starting kicker. Long-tenured, high-volume leg with proven range.

Start — K4 by consensus, projects K2 this week: 1.7 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.8 pts projected vs LAC.

  • Myers' steadier recent scoring offers a useful floor, rather than relying on one spike week.
  • His proven long range gives Seattle a scoring path on deeper drives, not only red-zone possessions.

Head-to-head stats

MetricHarrison ButkerJason Myers
Projected points
Consensus rankK10K4
Projected FG attempts2.12.3
Red-zone stalls / game2.01.7
Kicking conditionsIndoors, no weather riskCalm forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread24.5-5.524.3-3.0
Field-goal %86.8%(2025)85.4%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record1–2—

Recent form

Harrison Butker — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs MIA
Week 2vs IND
Week 1vs DEN

Jason Myers — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs WSH
Week 2vs ARI
Week 1vs NE

Signal breakdown

  • 8.8 vs 9.8 projected PPR pointsJason Myers +
  • Rank 10 vs 4Jason Myers +
  • 2.1 vs 2.3 projected attemptsJason Myers +
  • 2.0 vs 1.7 red-zone stalls per gameHarrison Butker +
  • dome vs 6 mph, 71°F, cleareven
  • Implied 24.5 vs 24.3 team pointsHarrison Butker +
  • No injury designationseven

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