Harold Fannin Jr. or Jameson Williams: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Fannin — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Harold Fannin Jr. is the higher consensus play (TE5 to WR26) and projects 11.2 to Williams's 10.4. Williams's edge is the game script, 25.3 implied points to 19.0. The gap is narrow.

In standard scoring this is a coin flip.

Harold Fannin Jr.

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE5CLEvs PIT

Projected Points

Start
Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams

WR26DETvs CAR

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Harold Fannin Jr.’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
-112 / -114
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 40.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+300
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Jameson Williams’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+104 / -132
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 48.5
-115 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+200
Anytime Touchdown Props →
PIT@
CLEThu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
DET@
CARSun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ETView the game →

Why Harold Fannin Jr.

Start

TE1 and high-volume receiving target. Move tight end and mismatch chess piece with YAC ability.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE5: 20% target share, 11.2 PPR projected vs PIT.

  • PIT ranks 9 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 86% snap share.

Latest on Fannin

Role

Fannin has seen at least six targets in each of his past two games.

How to bet Steelers Browns on TNF: Analysis, tips and top prop playsESPN · Oct 1, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Jameson Williams

Toss-Up

WR2 and primary vertical threat. Elite straight-line speed stretching the field on deep shots and jet motion.

Toss-up — WR26 consensus, projects WR42 this week: CAR is the 4th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 25.3 implied team total.

  • CAR ranks 4 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 25.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 88% snap share.

Latest on Williams

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricHarold Fannin Jr.Jameson Williams
Projected points
Consensus rankTE5WR26
Opponent vs positionPIT · 9 of 323-game sampleCAR · 4 of 323-game sample
Receptions2 of 327 of 32
Receiving Yards9 of 323 of 32
Receiving TDs16 of 323 of 32
Targets2 of 325 of 32
Anytime TD16 of 323 of 32
Target share20%16%
Reception share21%13%
Implied total · spread19.0+2.525.3-3.0
Depth chartTE1WR2
Snap share86%88%
Start/Sit record—0–2

Recent form

Harold Fannin Jr. — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CAR
Week 2vs TB
Week 1vs JAX

Jameson Williams — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs NYJ
Week 2vs BUF
Week 1vs NO

Signal breakdown

  • 11.2 vs 10.4 projected PPR pointsHarold Fannin Jr. +
  • Rank 5 vs 26Harold Fannin Jr. +
  • Opponent DvP rank 9 vs 4 (32 = softest)Harold Fannin Jr. +
  • Implied 19.0 vs 25.3 team pointsJameson Williams +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 86% vs 88% snap shareJameson Williams +

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