DJ Moore or Mark Andrews: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Moore’s first-read role meets Andrews’ red-zone edge

Moore’s role as Buffalo’s primary target gives him the better path to a useful PPR line, while his YAC ability can turn short work into extra production. Andrews counters with steadier involvement and a stronger scoring setup, and his red-zone mismatch gives his targets a clear route to touchdowns. Neither has enough separation to displace the other: Moore’s easier matchup and projection edge are balanced by Andrews’ heavier usage and Baltimore’s higher team total. Moore’s shoulder is the sharper risk; ESPN 2026-09-25 reported he was marked questionable, despite the sheet listing no designation.

What flips it: A shoulder-related limitation for Moore (ESPN 2026-09-25).

Sources: ESPN · Sep 25, 2026

AI editor

DJ Moore

DJ Moore

WR26BUFvs NE

Projected Points

Start· medium
Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews

TE15BALvs TEN

Projected Points

Start· medium

DJ Moore’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-143 / +112
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 46.5
-118 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+155
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Mark Andrews’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-156 / +122
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 37.5
-112 / -112
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+170
Anytime Touchdown Props →
NE@
BUFSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
TEN@
BALSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why DJ Moore

Start· medium

WR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with occasional gadget rushing and trick-play usage.

WR26 with a 22% target share on a 26.3-point implied total — solid WR2/flex volume in a favorable script as a 3-point favorite.

  • His YAC and occasional gadget work give Buffalo ways to create value beyond conventional receiver targets.
  • As the Bills’ primary target, he has a clear path to reclaiming a larger share of snaps.

The call

  • Role: a 22% target share over 3 games is WR2-caliber volume, which matters more in PPR than the modest 57% snap share.
  • Game environment: a 26.3 implied team total and a -3.0 spread point to a productive offense without a blowout that would kill passing volume.
  • Matchup is neutral: NE ranks 20 of 32 vs WRs, but the 3-game sample carries only 0.25 confidence, so it shouldn't drive the call either way.
  • Risk: the 57% snap share caps his ceiling if targets dip. The 13.0-point projection still clears typical replacement-level flex options, and he carries no injury designation.

Latest on Moore

Bills mark Keon Coleman, DJ Moore, Ed Oliver as questionable

Bills wide receivers Keon Coleman and DJ Moore and defensive lineman Ed Oliver are questionable to play against the Chargers.

ESPN · Sep 25, 2026
Bills to take time with Ed Oliver, DJ Moore injuries

A long week will give more time for Bills defensive lineman Ed Oliver (hip) and wide receiver DJ Moore (shoulder) to get healthy following Thursday's injuries.

ESPN · Sep 18, 2026
Source: Bills WR DJ Moore day-to-day with shoulder injury

DJ Moore was ruled out of Thursday night's game against the Lions because of a shoulder injury.

ESPN · Sep 18, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Mark Andrews

Start· medium

TE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.

A 25% target share and a 28.0 implied team total outweigh a tough-looking TEN matchup (5 of 32) that rests on a thin 3-game sample.

  • Andrews’ red-zone mismatch makes his role especially valuable when Baltimore reaches scoring range.
  • His established quarterback rapport supports his target earning even against a tough-looking matchup.

The call

  • Usage is the anchor. A 25% target share over 3 games is elite for a tight end, and a 65% snap share keeps him on the field for most pass plays.
  • Game environment is strong. A 28.0 implied team total gives him plenty of scoring chances, and he doesn't need many catches to reach double digits in PPR.
  • The matchup is the main knock. TEN grades 5 of 32 against tight ends, but that rests on only 3 games with 0.25 confidence, so I wouldn't bench a high-target TE over it.
  • Risk: as the TE15 at a 10.0 projection, he sits right at replacement level in 12-team leagues. The -8.5 spread could mean a run-heavy script late in the game, but his target share still clears the typical waiver-wire tight end.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDJ MooreMark Andrews
Projected points
Consensus rankWR26TE15
Opponent vs positionNE · 20 of 323-game sampleTEN · 5 of 323-game sample
Receptions22 of 326 of 32
Receiving Yards9 of 321 of 32
Receiving TDs24 of 321 of 32
Targets22 of 326 of 32
Anytime TD24 of 329 of 32
Target share22%25%
Reception share20%25%
Implied total · spread26.3-3.028.0-8.5
Depth chartWR1TE1
Snap share57%65%
Start/Sit record0–1+1 toss-up1–2

Recent form

DJ Moore — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LAC
Week 2vs DET
Week 1vs HOU

Mark Andrews — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DAL
Week 2vs NO
Week 1vs IND

Signal breakdown

  • 13.0 vs 10.0 projected PPR pointsDJ Moore +
  • Rank 26 vs 15Mark Andrews +
  • Opponent DvP rank 20 vs 5 (32 = softest)DJ Moore +
  • Implied 26.3 vs 28.0 team pointsMark Andrews +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 57% vs 65% snap shareMark Andrews +

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