Colston Loveland or Keenan Allen: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Loveland — Allen is ruled out.
Keenan Allen is ruled out, which settles it: Colston Loveland is the only startable side of this call. Loveland projects 8.6 PPR points.
Colston Loveland
5.37.08.6 Projected Points
Keenan Allen
6.68.911.3 Projected Points
Colston Loveland’s market
Why Colston Loveland
SitTE1 and pass-catching mismatch. Seam-stretching move tight end with flex alignment and rising target volume.
Sit — TE3 consensus, projects TE18 this week: NYJ is the 4th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 10% target share.
- NYJ ranks 4 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 8.5-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share.
Latest on Loveland
The tight end has one catch and faces a tough Eagles defense on MNF. With no Caleb Williams, can he get going?
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Keenan Allen
Sit· highVeteran possession WR in a crowded receiver room. Elite route craft and reliable hands on third downs.
Ruled out this week: Keenan Allen's 'out' status means zero points, overriding a soft WSH matchup (30 of 32) and a 21% target share.
- Currently ruled out — not a viable start until his status changes.
- WSH ranks 30 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
- Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 64% snap share.
The call
- Availability is the whole story: he is listed out, so he cannot score and has to come out of any lineup.
- The matchup would have helped. WSH ranks 30 of 32 against WRs, though that comes from a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, and his team's implied total is a healthy 24.5.
- When active, his role was usable but not elite: WR-2 with a 64% snap share and a 21% target share, which lines up with a WR59 consensus rank and an 11.3-point projection.
- Plug in any active replacement-level receiver. A zero from an inactive player is the worst outcome in a lineup slot.
Latest on Allen
Keenan Allen has been ruled out of Sunday's game against the Washington Commanders with a groin injury.
Colts WR Keenan Allen (groin) out vs. Commanders in LondonESPN · Oct 3, 2026Added to Week 4 injury report Thursday limited with groin injury after resting Wednesday.
Colts Wire · Oct 1, 2026If injuries or tough matchups have you seeking help, Matt Bowen provides options at each key position.
Colts wide receiver Keenan Allen, who was formally charged last week with two misdemeanor offenses stemming from his drunken driving arrest in downtown Indianapolis last month, is facing a minimum three-game suspension, sources told ESPN.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Colston Loveland | Keenan Allen |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.37.08.6 | 6.68.911.3 |
| Consensus rank | TE3 | WR59 |
| Opponent vs position | NYJ · 4 of 323-game sample | WSH · 30 of 323-game sample |
| Receptions | 8 of 32 | 32 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 8 of 32 | 30 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 1 of 32 | 31 of 32 |
| Targets | 3 of 32 | 28 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 1 of 32 | 31 of 32 |
| Target share | 10% | 21% |
| Reception share | 8% | 20% |
| Implied total · spread | 27.0-8.5 | 24.5+1.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | WR2 |
| Snap share | 84% | 64% |
| Injury designation | — | out |
Recent form
Colston Loveland — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs PHI | 3.15.17.1 |
| Week 2 | vs MIN | 0.30.81.3 |
| Week 1 | vs CAR | 0.00.00.0 |
Keenan Allen — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs HOU | 12.315.318.3 |
| Week 2 | vs KC | 0.51.01.5 |
| Week 1 | vs BAL | 3.26.29.2 |
Signal breakdown
- 8.6 vs 11.3 projected PPR pointsKeenan Allen +
- Rank 3 vs 59Colston Loveland +
- Opponent DvP rank 4 vs 30 (32 = softest)Keenan Allen +
- Implied 27.0 vs 24.5 team pointsColston Loveland +
- A ruled-out player cannot be a startColston Loveland +
- 84% vs 64% snap shareColston Loveland +
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