Colston Loveland or DK Metcalf: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Loveland — the consensus rank and game script edges are too wide to ignore.

Colston Loveland is the higher consensus play (TE3 to WR32) and plays in the better game script (27.0 implied team points to 21.5). Metcalf's edge is the projection, 10.1 to 8.6. The gap is narrow.

Colston Loveland

Colston Loveland

TE3CHIvs NYJ

Projected Points

Sit
DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf

WR32PITvs CLE

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Colston Loveland’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-104 / -123
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 34.5
-110 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+240
Anytime Touchdown Props →

DK Metcalf’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-138 / +108
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 45.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+230
Anytime Touchdown Props →
NYJ@
CHISun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
PIT@
CLEThu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why Colston Loveland

Sit

TE1 and pass-catching mismatch. Seam-stretching move tight end with flex alignment and rising target volume.

Sit — TE3 consensus, projects TE18 this week: NYJ is the 4th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 10% target share.

  • NYJ ranks 4 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 8.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share.

Latest on Loveland

Where has Bears TE Colston Loveland been this season?

The tight end has one catch and faces a tough Eagles defense on MNF. With no Caleb Williams, can he get going?

ESPN · Sep 28, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why DK Metcalf

Toss-Up

WR1 and primary vertical threat. Rare size-speed combination, dominant on go balls and back-shoulder throws.

Toss-up — WR32 consensus, projects WR43 this week: CLE is the 8th-softest matchup vs WRs, 23% target share.

  • CLE ranks 25 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 96% snap share.

Latest on Metcalf

Role

DK Metcalf caught 5-of-9 targets for 115 yards in the Week 4 loss to the Browns, with 93 yards coming in the second half.

NBC Sports · Oct 2, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricColston LovelandDK Metcalf
Projected points
Consensus rankTE3WR32
Opponent vs positionNYJ · 4 of 323-game sampleCLE · 25 of 323-game sample
Receptions8 of 3219 of 32
Receiving Yards8 of 3223 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 3229 of 32
Targets3 of 3225 of 32
Anytime TD1 of 3229 of 32
Target share10%23%
Reception share8%18%
Implied total · spread27.0-8.521.5-2.5
Depth chartTE1WR1
Snap share84%96%
Start/Sit record—0–1

Recent form

Colston Loveland — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs PHI
Week 2vs MIN
Week 1vs CAR

DK Metcalf — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CIN
Week 2vs NE
Week 1vs ATL

Signal breakdown

  • 8.6 vs 10.1 projected PPR pointsDK Metcalf +
  • Rank 3 vs 32Colston Loveland +
  • Opponent DvP rank 4 vs 25 (32 = softest)DK Metcalf +
  • Implied 27.0 vs 21.5 team pointsColston Loveland +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 84% vs 96% snap shareDK Metcalf +

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