Chase Brown or DJ Moore: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Brown — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Chase Brown is the higher consensus play (RB9 to WR26) and projects 16.2 to Moore's 13.0. Moore's edge is the matchup, 20 of 32 to 13. The gap is wide.
Chase Brown
12.414.316.2 Projected Points
DJ Moore
8.710.813.0 Projected Points
Chase Brown’s market
DJ Moore’s market
Why Chase Brown
StartRB1 and feature back. Home-run speed with heavy passing-game usage; three-down workload.
Start — every-week RB start at consensus RB9: 27.0 implied team total, 13% target share.
- JAX ranks 13 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 100% snap share.
Latest on Brown
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why DJ Moore
Start· mediumWR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with occasional gadget rushing and trick-play usage.
WR26 with a 22% target share on a 26.3-point implied total — solid WR2/flex volume in a favorable script as a 3-point favorite.
- Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
- NE ranks 20 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 26.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 57% snap share.
The call
- Role: a 22% target share over 3 games is WR2-caliber volume, which matters more in PPR than the modest 57% snap share.
- Game environment: a 26.3 implied team total and a -3.0 spread point to a productive offense without a blowout that would kill passing volume.
- Matchup is neutral: NE ranks 20 of 32 vs WRs, but the 3-game sample carries only 0.25 confidence, so it shouldn't drive the call either way.
- Risk: the 57% snap share caps his ceiling if targets dip. The 13.0-point projection still clears typical replacement-level flex options, and he carries no injury designation.
Latest on Moore
DJ Moore remains on the injury report with an AC joint sprain; was limited on Wednesday after playing 42 snaps against the Chargers.
SI.com · Oct 1, 2026Bills wide receivers Keon Coleman and DJ Moore and defensive lineman Ed Oliver are questionable to play against the Chargers.
A long week will give more time for Bills defensive lineman Ed Oliver (hip) and wide receiver DJ Moore (shoulder) to get healthy following Thursday's injuries.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Chase Brown | DJ Moore |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 12.414.316.2 | 8.710.813.0 |
| Consensus rank | RB9 | WR26 |
| Opponent vs position | JAX · 13 of 323-game sample | NE · 20 of 323-game sample |
| Rushing Yards | 4 of 32 | — |
| Rushing TDs | 8 of 32 | — |
| Rushing Attempts | 5 of 32 | — |
| Receptions | 25 of 32 | 22 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 27 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 6 of 32 | 24 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | — | 24 of 32 |
| Targets | — | 21 of 32 |
| Target share | 13% | 22% |
| Reception share | 14% | 20% |
| Implied total · spread | 27.0-2.5 | 26.3-3.0 |
| Depth chart | RB1 | WR1 |
| Snap share | 100% | 57% |
| Injury designation | — | Questionable |
| Start/Sit record | — | 0–1+1 toss-up |
Recent form
Chase Brown — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs PIT | 6.97.98.9 |
| Week 2 | vs HOU | 8.29.711.2 |
| Week 1 | vs TB | 13.816.318.8 |
DJ Moore — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs LAC | 6.79.712.7 |
| Week 2 | vs DET | -0.1-0.1-0.1 |
| Week 1 | vs HOU | 16.018.521.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 16.2 vs 13.0 projected PPR pointsChase Brown +
- Rank 9 vs 26Chase Brown +
- Opponent DvP rank 13 vs 20 (32 = softest)DJ Moore +
- Implied 27.0 vs 26.3 team pointsChase Brown +
- no designation vs QuestionableChase Brown +
- 100% vs 57% snap shareChase Brown +
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More Brown comparisons
More Moore comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs PHI
C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARI
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARID. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CIN
- B. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CINB. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GB
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GBD. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DALR. StevensonRhamondre StevensonRBNEvs BUF
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHIL. Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWRCHIvs NYJ
- L. Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWRCHIvs NYJC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TB
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TBP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CINM. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
- M. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYGS. DiggsStefon DiggsWRWSHvs IND
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs NO
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DENS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CAR
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CART. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TB
- T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TBT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LV
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LVJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOU
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOUI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs ARI
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs HOU
T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CIN
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CINB. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DEN
- B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DENP. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LV
- P. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LVB. NixBo NixQBDENvs SF
- B. NixBo NixQBDENvs SFM. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHI
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHIK. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs MIA
- K. FairbairnKa'imi FairbairnKHOUvs DAL
H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs LV
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs LVT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TEN
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TENC. SantosCairo SantosKCHIvs NYJ
- C. SantosCairo SantosKCHIvs NYJW. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIA
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIAE. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAX
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAXS. ShraderSpencer ShraderKINDvs WSH
- Commanders D/STCommanders D/STDSTWSHvs IND
Bills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NE
- Bills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NEBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJ
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TB
- Packers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TBGiants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs ARI
- Giants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs ARIBuccaneers D/STBuccaneers D/STDSTTBvs GB
- Buccaneers D/STBuccaneers D/STDSTTBvs GB49ers D/ST49ers D/STDSTSFvs DEN
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARIP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIND. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJD. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TBG. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DENT. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
- J. DownsJosh DownsWRINDvs WSH
D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL - D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DALM. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
- J. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs DET
K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs PHI
Get a Start/Sit call on your whole roster →
Save your team once and see a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up verdict on every player, every week — with the matchup, usage and game-script evidence behind each call.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.