Cameron Dicker or Harrison Butker: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Dicker is the K2 consensus play at 10.3 projected points and the locked PK1 with no injury designation — nothing to think about at the position.
• A 28.5 implied team total and -11.5 spread means volume: 3.1 projected extra points plus 2.3 field-goal attempts, and the offense stalls in the red zone 1.8 times per game to create those tries.
• Indoors with no weather risk, and he's hit 38 of 41 (93%) with a 59-yard long and five games with a 50-plus make — the range keeps low-end outcomes off the table.

The call

• Volume is fine, not special: 2.1 FG attempts and 2.1 extra points off a 22.5 implied team total puts him squarely at the 12-team starter line (K13, 8.5 projected).
• The 1.5 red-zone stalls per game is the friendly part of this profile — Kansas City drives stall into field-goal tries often enough to keep his attempt floor honest, and he's 33/38 (87%) with a 59-yard long and 50-plus makes in 5 games.
• The drag is environment and script: 12 mph wind with the roof open trims long-range equity, and a -2.5 spread means a tight divisional game where a late touchdown drive could cost him a try rather than add one.
• Tip it to start if the wind forecast softens or your alternative is outside the projected top 15; tip it to sit if you have a top-12 kicker in a dome or a higher-implied offense on your bench.