Tyson Bagent: Start or Sit?

QB•vs NYJ•Fantasy Football verdict

QB2 and primary backup. Undrafted developmental arm with spot-start experience in relief duty.

Preliminary board

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

This week’s verdict

Toss-Up· low

Bears' 27.0 implied total helps, but a 15.7 projection is fringe QB1/QB2 territory and his starting role isn't verified this week.

Projected

Same in standard, half-PPR and PPR

Consensus

—

position rank

Opponent

NYJ

this week

Implied total

27.0

team points

NYJ ranks 15 of 32 against QBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 8.5-point favorites.
Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 14% snap share.

The call

Game environment is favorable: Chicago's 27.0 implied team total and -8.5 spread point to a productive offense, though a big lead could mean a run-heavy second half that caps passing volume.
The matchup is neutral. NYJ ranks 15 of 32 in the DvP composite, and that rests on a 3-game sample at 0.25 confidence, so there's no real edge either way.
At 15.7 projected PPR points, Bagent sits around the replacement line for a 12-team QB slot, not clearly above a typical streamer.
Role risk tips it: unverified headlines say he's returning from injury, but one also says Keenum is 'likely to start' (vs. Eagles, a different opponent). Confirmation that Bagent is the Week starter moves him to a start; any sign Keenum starts makes him a clear sit.

Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

NYJ@

CHISun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Box score, injuries, and every prop on this gameView the game →

Recent form

Tyson Bagent — last 3 weeks

Week 3	vs PHI	0.00.00.0
Week 2	vs MIN	2.22.22.2
Week 1	vs CAR	0.00.00.0

Want the full Tyson Bagent matchup picture? →

Save your team once and see a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up verdict on every player, every week — with the matchup, usage and game-script evidence behind each call.

Add to My Team — free

Or browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.

Latest on Bagent

Tyson Bagent is set to return from injury this week for Bears

Courtney Cronin reports on the Bears QB room getting an upgrade as Tyson Bagent is expected to return this week.

VideoESPN · Sep 28, 2026

Bears QB Bagent clears protocol; Keenum likely to start vs. Eagles

The Bears' Tyson Bagent has cleared the concussion protocol, but Case Keenum is expected to start Monday night's game at quarterback against the Eagles.

ESPN · Sep 27, 2026

Sources: Caleb Williams injury considered to have 3-4 week timeline

Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has a Grade 2 hamstring injury that doctors say could sideline him for three to four weeks, league sources told ESPN and NFL Network.

ESPN · Sep 27, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Verdict history

Week	Verdict	Reason
2026 Week 4	Toss-Up· low	Bears' 27.0 implied total helps, but a 15.7 projection is fringe QB1/QB2 territory and his starting role isn't verified this week.