Omarion Hampton or Travis Kelce: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Kelce — the game script and snap share edges are too wide to ignore.
Travis Kelce plays in the better game script (24.5 implied team points to 21.3) and plays a 78% snap share to Hampton's 54%. Hampton's edge is the consensus rank, RB9 to TE11. The gap is comfortable.
In standard scoring this is a coin flip.
Omarion Hampton
9.310.010.7 Projected Points
Travis Kelce
7.39.511.8 Projected Points
Omarion Hampton’s market
Travis Kelce’s market
Why Omarion Hampton
SitRB1 and feature back. Powerful, high-volume runner with three-down receiving usage; 2025 season shortened by injury.
Sit — RB9 consensus, projects RB28 this week: SEA is the 10th-toughest matchup vs RBs, 4% target share.
- SEA ranks 10 of 32 against RBs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 21.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 54% snap share.
Latest on Hampton
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Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Travis Kelce
Start· mediumTE1 and future Hall of Fame-caliber pass catcher. Elite route craft from the seam and slot, still a volume target.
TE11 with a 20% target share and 78% snaps in a 24.5-point favored offense; a soft-leaning LV matchup (24 of 32) supports the start.
- LV ranks 24 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 5.5-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 78% snap share.
The call
- Role is locked in: 78% snap share and 20% target share over 3 games gives Kelce a stable PPR floor at a thin position.
- Game environment helps: KC is a 5.5-point favorite with a 24.5 implied total, so scoring chances near the goal line should be there.
- Matchup leans soft at 24 of 32 vs TEs, but it is a 3-game sample at 0.25 confidence, so it adds little beyond the projection.
- At TE11 with 11.8 projected points and no injury designation, he clears typical replacement options. The Stafford/Swift headline is unverified and irrelevant to his outlook.
Latest on Kelce
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Mahomes completed all 14 of his play-action attempts for 201 yards, including a touchdown, according to ESPN Research.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Omarion Hampton | Travis Kelce |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 9.310.010.7 | 7.39.511.8 |
| Consensus rank | RB9 | TE11 |
| Opponent vs position | SEA · 10 of 323-game sample | LV · 24 of 323-game sample |
| Rushing Yards | 5 of 32 | — |
| Rushing TDs | 1 of 32 | — |
| Rushing Attempts | 17 of 32 | — |
| Receptions | 17 of 32 | 27 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 14 of 32 | 16 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 6 of 32 | 30 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | — | 30 of 32 |
| Targets | — | 18 of 32 |
| Target share | 4% | 20% |
| Reception share | 4% | 21% |
| Implied total · spread | 21.3+3.0 | 24.5-5.5 |
| Depth chart | RB1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 54% | 78% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–1 | 2–1 |
Recent form
Omarion Hampton — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs BUF | 5.65.65.6 |
| Week 2 | vs LV | 15.516.517.5 |
| Week 1 | vs ARI | 8.38.38.3 |
Travis Kelce — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs MIA | 11.912.913.9 |
| Week 2 | vs IND | 16.120.625.1 |
| Week 1 | vs DEN | 7.18.610.1 |
Signal breakdown
- 10.7 vs 11.8 projected PPR pointsTravis Kelce +
- Rank 9 vs 11Omarion Hampton +
- Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 24 (32 = softest)Travis Kelce +
- Implied 21.3 vs 24.5 team pointsTravis Kelce +
- No injury designationseven
- 54% vs 78% snap shareTravis Kelce +
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