Jets D/ST or 49ers D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
The 49ers edge this pair, though Denver keeps them in sit territory
The 49ers get the nod because Denver’s lower scoring outlook and the home setting give this unit a more favorable path than the Jets have against Chicago. The Jets can pressure a Chicago offense that allows more sacks, but the Bears’ high implied total puts a ceiling on the payoff. The separation is narrow, and Denver’s modest turnover rate keeps the 49ers from becoming a confident start; the board’s sit verdict still applies.
What flips it: A meaningful rise in Denver’s implied total that closes the gap with Chicago’s.
AI editor
Jets D/ST
5.35.35.3 Projected Points
49ers D/ST
5.85.85.8 Projected Points
Why Jets D/ST
Toss-UpToss-up — a middling defensive matchup (No. 17 this week): CHI protects the ball (1.0 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 27 points.
- Chicago’s sack allowance gives the Jets a clearer route to a useful pass-rush result.
- The Jets’ better case is pressure, not a favorable scoring environment.
Why 49ers D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 14): DEN protects the ball (1.3 turnovers a game), and 5.8 pts projected vs DEN.
- Denver’s lower scoring outlook matters more than the small projection gap between these units.
- The home setting supports the 49ers, even though Denver is not a high-sack opponent.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jets D/ST | 49ers D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.35.35.3 | 5.85.85.8 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST17 | Proj.DST14 |
| Started in | 1% of leagues | 70% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Opponent implied total | 27.0 | 22.0 |
| Home / away | Away | Home |
| Start/Sit record | 1–1 | 1–1 |
Recent form
Jets D/ST — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs DET | 0.00.00.0 |
| Week 2 | vs GB | 8.08.08.0 |
| Week 1 | vs TEN | 11.011.011.0 |
49ers D/ST — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs ARI | 0.00.00.0 |
| Week 2 | vs MIA | 9.09.09.0 |
| Week 1 | vs LAR | 9.09.09.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 5.3 vs 5.8 projected PPR points49ers D/ST +
- Started rank 27 vs 5 (1% vs 70% of leagues)49ers D/ST +
- 2.0 sacks / 1.0 TO vs 1.7 sacks / 1.3 TO per game allowed49ers D/ST +
- Opponent implied 27.0 vs 22.0 points49ers D/ST +
- Away vs Home49ers D/ST +
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More D/ST comparisons
More D/ST comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs PHI
C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARI
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARID. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CIN
- B. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CINB. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GB
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GBD. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DALR. StevensonRhamondre StevensonRBNEvs BUF
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHID. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs NE
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs NEC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TB
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TBP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CINM. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
- M. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYGS. DiggsStefon DiggsWRWSHvs IND
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs NO
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DENS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CAR
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CART. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TB
- T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TBT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LV
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LVJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOU
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOUI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs ARI
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CIN
B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DEN
- B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DENP. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LV
- P. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LVM. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHI
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHIK. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs MIA
- K. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs MIAT. ShoughTyler ShoughQBNOvs ATL
- T. ShoughTyler ShoughQBNOvs ATLJ. GoffJared GoffQBDETvs CAR
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs LV
T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TEN
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TENW. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIA
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIAE. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAX
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAXC. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs GB
- C. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs GBT. SmackTrey SmackKGBvs TB
- T. SmackTrey SmackKGBvs TBS. ShraderSpencer ShraderKINDvs WSH
- Vikings D/STVikings D/STDSTMINvs MIA
Browns D/STBrowns D/STDSTCLEvs PIT
- Browns D/STBrowns D/STDSTCLEvs PITBills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NE
- Bills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NECommanders D/STCommanders D/STDSTWSHvs IND
- Commanders D/STCommanders D/STDSTWSHvs INDPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TB
- Packers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TBBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJ
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJGiants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs ARI
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARIP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TBJ. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs CLE
- J. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs CLEJ. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs DET
- J. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs DETG. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEND. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJT. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
- J. DownsJosh DownsWRINDvs WSH
D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL - D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DALM. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
Get a Start/Sit call on your whole roster →
Save your team once and see a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up verdict on every player, every week — with the matchup, usage and game-script evidence behind each call.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.