Texans D/ST or Jets D/ST: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start the Texans — the lineup-share and opponent scoring edges are too wide to ignore.

Texans D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 3 to 26) and faces the lower-scoring offense (22.5 implied points to 27.0). the Jets's edge is opponent giveaways, 2.0 sacks allowed to 1.0. The gap is comfortable.

Texans D/ST

D/STHOUvs DAL

Projected Points

Sit

Jets D/ST

D/STNYJvs CHI

Projected Points

Start
DAL@
HOUSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
NYJ@
CHISun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Texans D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 19): DAL protects the ball (0.7 turnovers a game), and 4.9 pts projected vs DAL.

  • DAL's offense gives up 1.0 sacks and 0.7 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has DAL at 22.5 points as 2.5-point dogs.
  • Over-started: 75% of leagues have them in, 3rd among defenses, against a No. 19 matchup.

Why Jets D/ST

Start

Start — the No. 5 defensive matchup this week: 6.7 pts projected vs CHI.

  • CHI's offense gives up 2.0 sacks and 1.0 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has CHI at 27 points as 8.5-point favorites.
  • Under-started: only 2% of leagues have them in, 26th among defenses, against a No. 5 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricTexans D/STJets D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST19Proj.DST5
Started in75% of leagues2% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game1.02.0
Opponent turnovers / game0.71.0
Opponent implied total22.527.0
Home / awayHomeAway
Start/Sit record—1–1

Recent form

Texans D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs IND
Week 2vs CIN
Week 1vs BUF

Jets D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DET
Week 2vs GB
Week 1vs TEN

Signal breakdown

  • 4.9 vs 6.7 projected PPR pointsJets D/ST +
  • Started rank 3 vs 26 (75% vs 2% of leagues)Texans D/ST +
  • 1.0 sacks / 0.7 TO vs 2.0 sacks / 1.0 TO per game allowedJets D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 22.5 vs 27.0 pointsTexans D/ST +
  • Home vs AwayTexans D/ST +

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