Kyle Pitts Sr. or Omarion Hampton: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Hampton — the projection edge is too wide to ignore.
Omarion Hampton projects 10.7 to Pitts's 7.4. Pitts's edge is the matchup, 27 of 32 to 15. The gap is narrow.
Kyle Pitts Sr.
TE7ATLvs NO
4.45.97.4 Projected Points
Toss-Up· low
Omarion Hampton
RB9LACvs SEA
9.310.010.7 Projected Points
Sit
Kyle Pitts Sr.’s market
Omarion Hampton’s market
Why Kyle Pitts Sr.
Toss-Up· lowTE1 and vertical seam threat. Rare size-speed mismatch profile with high-volume target share in the passing game.
TE7 rank and a soft-leaning NO matchup (25 of 32) clash with a thin 53% snap / 8% target share role.
- NO ranks 27 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 53% snap share.
The call
- The case for starting him is his consensus TE7 rank and a 7.4-point projection, which sits near low-end TE1 territory at a thin position. NO grades 25 of 32 against tight ends, on the softer side.
- The case against is usage. A 53% snap share and 8% target share over 3 games is a part-time role, and that supports the house sit-lean.
- The matchup signal is shaky. It rests on a 3-game sample with only 0.25 confidence, so don't lean on it heavily.
- A 21.5 implied team total is middling and gives no strong scoring bump. Start him over a streamer with a weaker role, but bench him for any TE seeing a clearly bigger target share.
Latest on Pitts
Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Falcons-Packers on "Thursday Night Football."
ESPN · Sep 24, 2026
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Omarion Hampton
SitRB1 and feature back. Powerful, high-volume runner with three-down receiving usage; 2025 season shortened by injury.
Sit — RB9 consensus, projects RB28 this week: 4% target share, 10.7 PPR projected vs SEA.
- SEA ranks 15 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 4-game sample).
- Vegas implies 21.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 50% snap share.
Latest on Hampton
VideoESPN · Oct 4, 2026
Is the Chargers' offense too complicated for the team? What's going wrong with McDaniels' scheme in L.A.
ESPN · Sep 26, 2026
VideoESPN · Oct 5, 2026
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Kyle Pitts Sr. | Omarion Hampton |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 4.45.97.4 | 9.310.010.7 |
| Consensus rank | TE7 | RB9 |
| Opponent vs position | NO · 27 of 323-game sample | SEA · 15 of 324-game sample |
| Receptions | 30 of 32 | 29 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 29 of 32 | 19 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 22 of 32 | — |
| Targets | 30 of 32 | — |
| Anytime TD | 22 of 32 | 12 of 32 |
| Rushing Yards | — | 6 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | — | 4 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | — | 20 of 32 |
| Target share | 8% | 4% |
| Reception share | 4% | 6% |
| Implied total · spread | 21.5+2.5 | 21.3+3.0 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | RB1 |
| Snap share | 53% | 50% |
| Start/Sit record | 1–1+2 toss-ups | 0–1 |
Recent form
Kyle Pitts Sr. — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs GB | 0.51.01.5 |
| Week 2 | vs CAR | 1.52.02.5 |
| Week 1 | vs PIT | 0.00.00.0 |
Omarion Hampton — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs BUF | 5.65.65.6 |
| Week 2 | vs LV | 15.516.517.5 |
| Week 1 | vs ARI | 8.38.38.3 |
Signal breakdown
- 7.4 vs 10.7 projected PPR pointsOmarion Hampton +
- Rank 7 vs 9Kyle Pitts Sr. +
- Opponent DvP rank 27 vs 15 (32 = softest)Kyle Pitts Sr. +
- Implied 21.5 vs 21.3 team pointsKyle Pitts Sr. +
- No injury designationseven
- 53% vs 50% snap shareKyle Pitts Sr. +
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