Keenan Allen or Mark Andrews: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Andrews — Allen is ruled out.

Keenan Allen is ruled out, which settles it: Mark Andrews is the only startable side of this call. Andrews projects 10.0 PPR points.

Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen

WR59INDvs WSH

Projected Points

OUT — verdict voidSit· high
Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews

TE15BALvs TEN

Projected Points

Start· medium

Mark Andrews’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-155 / +121
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 38.5
-110 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+180
Anytime Touchdown Props →
IND@
WSHSun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ETView the game →
TEN@
BALSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Keenan Allen

Sit· high

Veteran possession WR in a crowded receiver room. Elite route craft and reliable hands on third downs.

Ruled out this week: Keenan Allen's 'out' status means zero points, overriding a soft WSH matchup (30 of 32) and a 21% target share.

  • Currently ruled out — not a viable start until his status changes.
  • WSH ranks 30 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 64% snap share.

The call

  • Availability is the whole story: he is listed out, so he cannot score and has to come out of any lineup.
  • The matchup would have helped. WSH ranks 30 of 32 against WRs, though that comes from a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, and his team's implied total is a healthy 24.5.
  • When active, his role was usable but not elite: WR-2 with a 64% snap share and a 21% target share, which lines up with a WR59 consensus rank and an 11.3-point projection.
  • Plug in any active replacement-level receiver. A zero from an inactive player is the worst outcome in a lineup slot.

Latest on Allen

Status

Keenan Allen has been ruled out of Sunday's game against the Washington Commanders with a groin injury.

Colts WR Keenan Allen (groin) out vs. Commanders in LondonESPN · Oct 3, 2026
StatusPreviously

Added to Week 4 injury report Thursday limited with groin injury after resting Wednesday.

Colts Wire · Oct 1, 2026
Fantasy football last-minute pickups for Week 4: Raymond, Allen, Waller among top options

If injuries or tough matchups have you seeking help, Matt Bowen provides options at each key position.

ESPN · Oct 2, 2026
Sources: Colts' Keenan Allen faces minimum 3-game suspension

Colts wide receiver Keenan Allen, who was formally charged last week with two misdemeanor offenses stemming from his drunken driving arrest in downtown Indianapolis last month, is facing a minimum three-game suspension, sources told ESPN.

ESPN · Sep 20, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Mark Andrews

Start· medium

TE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.

25% target share and a 28.0 implied total outweigh a tough TEN DvP (5 of 32) built on a thin 3-game sample; TE15 is a viable TE1-fringe start.

  • TEN ranks 5 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 28.0 team points as 8.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 65% snap share.

The call

  • Usage is the anchor: a 25% target share is elite for a tight end, and a 65% snap share keeps him on the field enough to cash it in, even if he's not every-down.
  • Game environment is strong: a 28.0 implied team total and an -8.5 spread point to plenty of scoring chances. Red-zone looks for a target-hog TE come with that.
  • The matchup is the knock. TEN ranks 5 of 32 vs TEs, but that's a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it shouldn't override his role. That's why confidence is medium, not high.
  • Health looks clean. He has no designation, and Yahoo reports a full practice Thursday with a hand ailment that hasn't limited him. The ESPN 'conflicted' headline is unverified and doesn't change the call. At 10.0 projected points (TE15), he's ahead of typical replacement-level streamers.

Latest on Andrews

Status

Mark Andrews was a full practice participant Thursday despite being listed on the injury report with a hand ailment that has not limited his practice participation.

Yahoo Sports · Oct 2, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricKeenan AllenMark Andrews
Projected points
Consensus rankWR59TE15
Opponent vs positionWSH · 30 of 323-game sampleTEN · 5 of 323-game sample
Receptions32 of 326 of 32
Receiving Yards30 of 321 of 32
Receiving TDs31 of 321 of 32
Targets28 of 326 of 32
Anytime TD31 of 329 of 32
Target share21%25%
Reception share20%25%
Implied total · spread24.5+1.528.0-8.5
Depth chartWR2TE1
Snap share64%65%
Injury designationout—
Start/Sit record—1–2

Recent form

Keenan Allen — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs HOU
Week 2vs KC
Week 1vs BAL

Mark Andrews — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DAL
Week 2vs NO
Week 1vs IND

Signal breakdown

  • 11.3 vs 10.0 projected PPR pointsKeenan Allen +
  • Rank 59 vs 15Mark Andrews +
  • Opponent DvP rank 30 vs 5 (32 = softest)Keenan Allen +
  • Implied 24.5 vs 28.0 team pointsMark Andrews +
  • A ruled-out player cannot be a startMark Andrews +
  • 64% vs 65% snap shareMark Andrews +

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