Jordan Love or Lamar Jackson: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Jackson — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.
Lamar Jackson projects 21.1 to Love's 14.9 and is the higher consensus play (QB2 to QB20). Love's edge is the matchup, 14 of 32 to 7. The gap is wide.
Jordan Love
14.914.914.9 Projected Points
Lamar Jackson
21.121.121.1 Projected Points
Jordan Love’s market
Lamar Jackson’s market
Why Jordan Love
Sit· mediumStarting QB and franchise passer. Big arm with elite off-platform throws and aggressive downfield mentality.
Consensus QB20 at 15.0 projected points sits well outside the 12 starting QB slots, and a middling TB matchup (14 of 32) offers no upside boost.
- TB ranks 14 of 32 against QBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 100% snap share.
The call
- Ranking is the driver. At QB20 with a 15.0-point projection, Love grades below the QB1 line in a 12-team, one-QB league, where streamers in the QB13-15 range are usually available. That concrete gap tips the model's toss-up to a sit.
- The matchup is neutral at best. TB ranks 14 of 32 in the DvP composite, slightly tougher than average. That read rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it doesn't justify a bump.
- Game script is the one argument for him. A 24.5 implied team total and a -1.5 spread point to a competitive game with decent scoring. It's enough to keep him viable in superflex or 2-QB formats, but not to override his rank in standard leagues.
- His role is secure. He's the starter with no injury designation, so the risk is a modest ceiling, not a zero. Start him only if your QB1 is on bye or banged up and the waiver options rank lower.
Latest on Love
Bijan Robinson and Drake London couldn't be stopped, as Atlanta ended Green Bay's streak of 13 straight home-opening wins.
NFL stars continue to turn game-day arrivals into their own weekly fashion showcase.
Check out the biggest touchdowns from the Falcons' big win over the Packers at Lambeau Field.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Lamar Jackson
StartFranchise starting QB and dual-threat superstar. Elite off-script creator with MVP-caliber efficiency and game-breaking rushing ability.
Start — every-week QB start at consensus QB2: 28.0 implied team total, 100% snap share.
- TEN ranks 7 of 32 against QBs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 28.0 team points as 8.5-point favorites.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 100% snap share.
Latest on Jackson
Lamar Jackson was not at the start of Ravens practice Wednesday.
Lamar Jackson Not at Practice; Ronnie Stanley Returnsbaltimoreravens.com · Sep 30, 2026Here are the other three players who overcame adversity to help Jackson produce one of the wildest finishes in Ravens history.
Jamison Hensley reports that Lamar Jackson is treating the Ravens' trip to Brazil as purely business.
A day before the Ravens travel to Brazil to play the Cowboys, quarterback Lamar Jackson said he isn't focusing on the condition of the field at Maracanã Stadium.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jordan Love | Lamar Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 14.914.914.9 | 21.121.121.1 |
| Consensus rank | QB20 | QB2 |
| Opponent vs position | TB · 14 of 323-game sample | TEN · 7 of 323-game sample |
| Passing Yards | 14 of 32 | 8 of 32 |
| Passing TDs | 9 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Passing Completions | 20 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Passing Attempts | 15 of 32 | 5 of 32 |
| Interceptions | 14 of 32 | 14 of 32 |
| Implied total · spread | 24.5-1.5 | 28.0-8.5 |
| Depth chart | QB1 | QB1 |
| Snap share | 100% | 100% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–1+2 toss-ups | — |
Recent form
Jordan Love — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs ATL | 18.518.518.5 |
| Week 2 | vs NYJ | 13.813.813.8 |
| Week 1 | vs MIN | 19.519.519.5 |
Lamar Jackson — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs DAL | 20.420.420.4 |
| Week 2 | vs NO | 14.814.814.8 |
| Week 1 | vs IND | 25.025.025.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 14.9 vs 21.1 projected PPR pointsLamar Jackson +
- Rank 20 vs 2Lamar Jackson +
- Opponent DvP rank 14 vs 7 (32 = softest)Jordan Love +
- Implied 24.5 vs 28.0 team pointsLamar Jackson +
- No injury designationseven
- 100% vs 100% snap shareeven
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