Colts D/ST or Jets D/ST: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Keep both defenses benched; Indianapolis has the cleaner setting, not a clear edge
Keep both defenses on your bench; neither has enough going for it to become a start. The Colts get home field and a lower-scoring opponent, but Houston’s limited sack and turnover allowance keeps that advantage modest. The Jets have more opportunity for takeaways, yet Detroit’s scoring outlook and the road setting leave little margin for points allowed to hurt them. Indianapolis’ small projection edge is noise beside those opposing matchup risks.
What flips it: A meaningful drop in Detroit’s scoring outlook would make the Jets’ takeaway opportunity more attractive.
AI editor
Colts D/ST
4.54.54.5 Projected Points
Jets D/ST
3.73.73.7 Projected Points
Why Colts D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 23): 4.5 pts projected vs HOU.
- Houston’s lower scoring outlook gives Indianapolis a better path to points-allowed scoring.
- Home field helps, but Houston’s low mistake rate limits the Colts’ splash-play ceiling.
Why Jets D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 26): Vegas has DET at 27.5 points, and 3.7 pts projected vs DET.
- Detroit’s greater sack and turnover allowance gives New York a plausible route to defensive splash plays.
- That takeaway opportunity has to offset the road matchup against a high-scoring offense.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Colts D/ST | Jets D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 4.54.54.5 | 3.73.73.7 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST23 | Proj.DST26 |
| Started in | 1% of leagues | 2% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.6(2025) | 3.0(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 0.7(2025) | 0.9(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 23.5 | 27.5 |
| Home / away | Home | Away |
| Start/Sit record | — | 1–1 |
Recent form
Colts D/ST — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs KC | -5.0-5.0-5.0 |
| Week 1 | vs BAL | -5.0-5.0-5.0 |
Jets D/ST — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs GB | 8.08.08.0 |
| Week 1 | vs TEN | 11.011.011.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 4.5 vs 3.7 projected PPR pointsColts D/ST +
- Started rank 29 vs 26 (1% vs 2% of leagues)Jets D/ST +
- 2.6 sacks / 0.7 TO vs 3.0 sacks / 0.9 TO per game allowedJets D/ST +
- Opponent implied 23.5 vs 27.5 pointsColts D/ST +
- Home vs AwayColts D/ST +
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More D/ST comparisons
More D/ST comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. Walker IIIKenneth Walker IIIRBKCvs MIA
K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs DEN
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs DENQ. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs CAR
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs CARC. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs TEN
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs TEND. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs PHI
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs PHIB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs NE
- B. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs NEB. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs MIN
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs PIT
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs DEN
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs DENM. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs ARI
- M. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs ARIC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs ATL
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs ATLP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs NE
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs NEM. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs ATL
- M. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs ATLQ. JohnstonQuentin JohnstonWRLACvs BUF
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs GB
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs ARI
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs ARIS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NYJ
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NYJT. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs ATL
- T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs ATLT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs MIA
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs MIAJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs BAL
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs BALI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs TEN
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs BAL
J. HerbertJustin HerbertQBLACvs BUF
- J. HerbertJustin HerbertQBLACvs BUFT. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs NE
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs NEB. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs ARI
- B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs ARIP. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs MIA
- P. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs MIAB. NixBo NixQBDENvs LAR
- B. NixBo NixQBDENvs LARM. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs DEN
- E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs ARI
J. BatesJake BatesKDETvs NYJ
- J. BatesJake BatesKDETvs NYJH. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs MIA
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs MIAT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs DAL
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs DALC. BoswellChris BoswellKPITvs CIN
- C. BoswellChris BoswellKPITvs CINC. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs MIN
- C. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs MINT. SmackTrey SmackKGBvs ATL
- 49ers D/ST49ers D/STDSTSFvs ARI
Panthers D/STPanthers D/STDSTCARvs CLE
- Panthers D/STPanthers D/STDSTCARvs CLELions D/STLions D/STDSTDETvs NYJ
- Lions D/STLions D/STDSTDETvs NYJGiants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs TEN
- Giants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs TENSaints D/STSaints D/STDSTNOvs LV
- Saints D/STSaints D/STDSTNOvs LVBengals D/STBengals D/STDSTCINvs PIT
- Bengals D/STBengals D/STDSTCINvs PITTitans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYG
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs MINP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs NE
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs NEC. HubbardChuba HubbardRBCARvs CLE
- C. HubbardChuba HubbardRBCARvs CLEC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs ATL
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs ATLC. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs TEN
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs TENJ. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs CLE
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs DENQ. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs CAR
- J. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs CIN
T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs PIT - T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs PITD. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs PHI
Get a Start/Sit call on your whole roster →
Save your team once and see a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up verdict on every player, every week — with the matchup, usage and game-script evidence behind each call.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.