Ravens D/ST or Colts D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Ravens D/ST wins on the opponent profile, not the venue
Start Ravens D/ST: Dallas offers the better takeaway setup, enough to overcome Baltimore playing away from home. Indianapolis gets the friendlier venue and lower scoring expectation, but Houston's low turnover rate limits the splash-play path. The call is narrow, and the real risk is Dallas converting its chances while the Ravens fail to create disruption.
What flips it: A Dallas offensive game with no turnovers.
AI editor
Ravens D/ST
D/STBALvs DAL
4.44.44.4 Projected Points
Sit
Colts D/ST
D/STINDvs HOU
4.74.74.7 Projected Points
Start
Why Ravens D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 22): Vegas has DAL at 24.5 points, and 4.4 pts projected vs DAL.
- Baltimore's edge is takeaway opportunity; if Dallas avoids mistakes, the road setting becomes decisive.
- The strong lineup-share support suggests this unit remains trusted despite a difficult venue.
Why Colts D/ST
StartStart — the No. 21 defensive matchup this week: 4.7 pts projected vs HOU.
- Indianapolis has the better environment, but needs sacks to offset Houston's limited giveaway history.
- The Colts can win if home-field pressure turns Houston's otherwise careful offense into mistakes.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Ravens D/ST | Colts D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 4.44.44.4 | 4.74.74.7 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST22 | Proj.DST21 |
| Started in | 80% of leagues | 1% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.4(2025) | 2.6(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.2(2025) | 0.7(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 24.5 | 23.5 |
| Home / away | Away | Home |
Recent form
Ravens D/ST — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs NO | 5.05.05.0 |
| Week 1 | vs IND | 8.08.08.0 |
Colts D/ST — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs KC | -5.0-5.0-5.0 |
| Week 1 | vs BAL | -5.0-5.0-5.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 4.4 vs 4.7 projected PPR pointsColts D/ST +
- Started rank 4 vs 30 (80% vs 1% of leagues)Ravens D/ST +
- 2.4 sacks / 1.2 TO vs 2.6 sacks / 0.7 TO per game allowedRavens D/ST +
- Opponent implied 24.5 vs 23.5 pointsColts D/ST +
- Away vs HomeColts D/ST +
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