Harold Fannin Jr. or Keenan Allen: Who Should You Start?

Historical comparison from 2026 Week 4 — one of these players isn’t on the current board.

Start Fannin — Allen is ruled out.

Keenan Allen is ruled out, which settles it: Harold Fannin Jr. is the only startable side of this call. Fannin projects 11.2 PPR points.

Harold Fannin Jr.

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE5CLEvs PIT

Projected Points

Start
Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen

WR59INDvs WSH

Projected Points

OUT — verdict voidSit· high
PIT@
CLEThu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
IND@
WSHSun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ETView the game →

Why Harold Fannin Jr.

Start

TE1 and high-volume receiving target. Move tight end and mismatch chess piece with YAC ability.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE5: 20% target share, 11.2 PPR projected vs PIT.

  • PIT ranks 9 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 86% snap share.

Latest on Fannin

Role

Fannin has seen at least six targets in each of his past two games.

How to bet Steelers Browns on TNF: Analysis, tips and top prop playsESPN · Oct 1, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Keenan Allen

Sit· high

Veteran possession WR in a crowded receiver room. Elite route craft and reliable hands on third downs.

Ruled out this week: Keenan Allen's 'out' status means zero points, overriding a soft WSH matchup (30 of 32) and a 21% target share.

  • Currently ruled out — not a viable start until his status changes.
  • WSH ranks 30 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 64% snap share.

The call

  • Availability is the whole story: he is listed out, so he cannot score and has to come out of any lineup.
  • The matchup would have helped. WSH ranks 30 of 32 against WRs, though that comes from a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, and his team's implied total is a healthy 24.5.
  • When active, his role was usable but not elite: WR-2 with a 64% snap share and a 21% target share, which lines up with a WR59 consensus rank and an 11.3-point projection.
  • Plug in any active replacement-level receiver. A zero from an inactive player is the worst outcome in a lineup slot.

Latest on Allen

Status

Keenan Allen has been ruled out of Sunday's game against the Washington Commanders with a groin injury.

Colts WR Keenan Allen (groin) out vs. Commanders in LondonESPN · Oct 3, 2026
StatusPreviously

Added to Week 4 injury report Thursday limited with groin injury after resting Wednesday.

Colts Wire · Oct 1, 2026
Fantasy football last-minute pickups for Week 4: Raymond, Waller among top options

If injuries or tough matchups have you seeking help, Matt Bowen provides options at each key position.

ESPN · Oct 3, 2026
Sources: Colts' Keenan Allen faces minimum 3-game suspension

Colts wide receiver Keenan Allen, who was formally charged last week with two misdemeanor offenses stemming from his drunken driving arrest in downtown Indianapolis last month, is facing a minimum three-game suspension, sources told ESPN.

ESPN · Sep 20, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricHarold Fannin Jr.Keenan Allen
Projected points
Consensus rankTE5WR59
Opponent vs positionPIT · 9 of 323-game sampleWSH · 30 of 323-game sample
Receptions2 of 3232 of 32
Receiving Yards9 of 3230 of 32
Receiving TDs16 of 3231 of 32
Targets2 of 3228 of 32
Anytime TD16 of 3231 of 32
Target share20%21%
Reception share21%20%
Implied total · spread19.0+2.524.5+1.5
Depth chartTE1WR2
Snap share86%64%
Injury designation—out

Recent form

Harold Fannin Jr. — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CAR
Week 2vs TB
Week 1vs JAX

Keenan Allen — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs HOU
Week 2vs KC
Week 1vs BAL

Signal breakdown

  • 11.2 vs 11.3 projected PPR pointsKeenan Allen +
  • Rank 5 vs 59Harold Fannin Jr. +
  • Opponent DvP rank 9 vs 30 (32 = softest)Keenan Allen +
  • Implied 19.0 vs 24.5 team pointsKeenan Allen +
  • A ruled-out player cannot be a startHarold Fannin Jr. +
  • 86% vs 64% snap shareHarold Fannin Jr. +

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