Garrett Wilson or TreVeyon Henderson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Wilson — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.

Garrett Wilson projects 16.5 to Henderson's 9.5 and is the higher consensus play (WR13 to RB27). Henderson's edge is the game script, 23.3 implied points to 18.5. The gap is wide.

Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson

WR13NYJvs CHI

Projected Points

Start
TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson

RB27NEvs BUF

Projected Points

Sit

Garrett Wilson’s market

REC
O/U 6.5
-106 / -120
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 75.5
-111 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →

TreVeyon Henderson’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 39.5
-113 / -113
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 1.5
+136 / -175
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 7.5
-114 / -110
Receiving Yards Props →

Why Garrett Wilson

Start

WR1 and alpha target. Elite separation quickness and contested-catch skill; missed time cut his sample last season.

Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR13: 28% target share, 16.5 PPR projected vs CHI.

  • CHI ranks 8 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 18.5 team points as 8.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 86% snap share.

Latest on Wilson

Role

Garrett Wilson had 10 receptions for 107 yards and a touchdown against the Lions last Sunday.

Garrett Wilson Looks to Build on His Week 3 Performance: 'I Felt Like My Normal Self'newyorkjets.com · Oct 1, 2026
Status

Wilson was placed under concussion protocol late in Sunday's game against the Lions but cleared protocol and is expected to be available for Week 4.

SI.com · Sep 28, 2026

No. 5 Snagged Team Leading 10 Passes for 107 Yards and a TD

newyorkjets.com · Sep 27, 2026

Jets Pass Catcher: ‘We’re Going to Have to be At the Top of Our Game’ Against Lions

newyorkjets.com · Sep 26, 2026

The Jets promoted veteran Sterling Shepard from the practice squad, as starting WR Adonai Mitchell is questionable with a finger injury, and three other Jets receivers are on injured reserve.

ESPN · Sep 26, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why TreVeyon Henderson

Sit

RB2 and explosive change-of-pace back. Home-run speed with pass-protection and receiving value.

Sit — RB27 consensus, projects RB33 this week: 2% target share, 9.5 PPR projected vs BUF.

  • BUF ranks 24 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 49% snap share.

Latest on Henderson

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricGarrett WilsonTreVeyon Henderson
Projected points
Consensus rankWR13RB27
Opponent vs positionCHI · 8 of 323-game sampleBUF · 24 of 323-game sample
Receptions5 of 3229 of 32
Receiving Yards12 of 3231 of 32
Receiving TDs8 of 32—
Targets8 of 32—
Anytime TD7 of 3230 of 32
Rushing Yards—15 of 32
Rushing TDs—16 of 32
Rushing Attempts—20 of 32
Target share28%2%
Reception share27%3%
Implied total · spread18.5+8.523.3+3.0
Depth chartWR1RB2
Snap share86%49%

Recent form

Garrett Wilson — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DET
Week 2vs GB
Week 1vs TEN

TreVeyon Henderson — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs JAX
Week 2vs PIT
Week 1vs SEADNP

Signal breakdown

  • 16.5 vs 9.5 projected PPR pointsGarrett Wilson +
  • Rank 13 vs 27Garrett Wilson +
  • Opponent DvP rank 8 vs 24 (32 = softest)TreVeyon Henderson +
  • Implied 18.5 vs 23.3 team pointsTreVeyon Henderson +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 86% vs 49% snap shareGarrett Wilson +

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