Eddy Pineiro or Jake Elliott: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Top-10 kicker projection (8.7 points, K10) on 1.9 makes of 2.1 attempts plus 2.0 extra points — that's the standard profile of a startable K in a 12-team league.
• Pineiro is money: 97% (28/29) with a 59-yard long and five 50-plus makes, so he converts everything the offense gives him, including the fringe attempts.
• Offense stalls 1.4 times per game inside the red zone, which is exactly the inefficiency that turns into kicker points, and the 22.8 implied total says they'll be moving the ball.
• Calm forecast with the roof open removes weather risk, and he's the locked-in PK1 with no injury designation.

The call

• Philadelphia's 26.0 implied total is the key input: 3.0 projected extra points give Elliott a floor most K20-ranked kickers don't have, and 1.9 attempts add the upside.
• Only 0.8 red-zone stalls per game means this offense finishes drives rather than settling for field goals — that caps attempt volume but converts into the XP floor instead.
• Risk factors are real: 74% accuracy (20/27) is unimpressive and the K20 consensus rank says the market sees him as a fringe starter, so a shootout that stalls could leave 5-6 points.
• He's locked in as PK1 with no injury designation, and the open roof has no forecast yet — recheck weather before locking, since wind is the one thing that would flip this to a sit.