DJ Moore or Malik Willis: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Willis — the availability and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Malik Willis is the healthier side of this call (Moore carries a questionable tag) and projects 14.7 to Moore's 12.6. Moore's edge is the game script, 25.8 implied points to 18.5. The gap is comfortable.

DJ Moore

DJ Moore

WR26BUFvs LAC

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Malik Willis

Malik Willis

QB21MIAvs KC

Projected Points

Sit

DJ Moore’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-146 / +114
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 48.5
-111 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →

Malik Willis’s market

PASS YDS
O/U 175.5
-113 / -111
Passing Yards Props →
PASS TD
O/U 0.5
-227 / +176
Passing Touchdowns Props →
INT
O/U 0.5
-125 / -102
Interceptions Thrown Props →
RUSH YDS
O/U 32.5
-112 / -112
Rushing Yards Props →

Why DJ Moore

Toss-Up

WR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with occasional gadget rushing and trick-play usage.

Toss-up — WR26 consensus, projects WR22 this week: 25.8 implied team total, 22% target share.

  • Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
  • LAC ranks 16 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 25.8 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 57% snap share.

Latest on Moore

Status

Moore is questionable to play Sunday against the Chargers.

Bills mark Keon Coleman, D.J. Moore, Ed Oliver as questionableESPN · Sep 25, 2026
Status

Moore returned to limited practice on Wednesday wearing a red non-contact jersey but was absent from Thursday practice, suggesting planned treatment/rest day for his AC joint shoulder injury.

Yahoo Sports · Sep 25, 2026
Status

Moore is dealing with an AC joint sprain in his shoulder suffered vs. the Lions in Week 2; he is considered day-to-day and NFL Network's Ian Rapoport expects him to practice this week ahead of Week 3 vs. the Chargers, though playing is not guaranteed.

SI.com (OnSI) · Sep 21, 2026

A long week will give more time for Bills defensive lineman Ed Oliver (hip) and wide receiver DJ Moore (shoulder) to get healthy following Thursday's injuries.

ESPN · Sep 18, 2026

DJ Moore was ruled out of Thursday night's game against the Lions because of a shoulder injury.

ESPN · Sep 18, 2026

Moore is questionable to return to tonight's contest with a shoulder and stinger injury.

buffalobills.com · Sep 17, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Malik Willis

Sit

Starting QB with dual-threat mobility. Strong arm and designed-run value; a career backup signed in free agency to take over the job.

Sit — bench-tier QB at consensus QB21: KC is the 7th-toughest matchup vs QBs, 18.5 implied team total caps the ceiling.

  • KC ranks 7 of 32 against QBs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 18.5 team points as 7.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 100% snap share.

Latest on Willis

Status

Malik Willis said he was alright after playing despite a toe appearing on the injury report.

Transcript: QB Malik Willis Press Conference - September 23miamidolphins.com · Sep 24, 2026

Miami's players, coaches say takeaways from 49ers blowout will be building blocks for the rest of the season.

ESPN · Sep 21, 2026

Read the full transcript from QB Malik Willis' postgame media availability on September 16, 2026.

miamidolphins.com · Sep 17, 2026

Eric Karabell provides a list of what to watch for in fantasy football, so don't be surprised if any of these come true.

ESPN · Sep 18, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDJ MooreMalik Willis
Projected points
Consensus rankWR26QB21
Opponent vs positionLAC · 16 of 323-game sampleKC · 7 of 323-game sample
Receptions20 of 32—
Receiving Yards22 of 32—
Receiving TDs14 of 32—
Targets10 of 32—
Anytime TD13 of 32—
Passing Yards—4 of 32
Passing TDs—1 of 32
Passing Completions—9 of 32
Passing Attempts—16 of 32
Interceptions—6 of 32
Target share22%—
Reception share20%—
Implied total · spread25.8-3.018.5+7.5
Depth chartWR1QB1
Snap share57%100%
Injury designationquestionable—
Start/Sit record0–1+1 toss-up—

Recent form

DJ Moore — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs DET
Week 1vs HOU

Malik Willis — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs SF
Week 1vs LV

Signal breakdown

  • 12.6 vs 14.7 projected PPR pointsMalik Willis +
  • Rank 26 vs 21Malik Willis +
  • Opponent DvP rank 16 vs 7 (32 = softest)DJ Moore +
  • Implied 25.8 vs 18.5 team pointsDJ Moore +
  • questionable vs no designationMalik Willis +
  • 57% vs 100% snap shareMalik Willis +

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