DeVonta Smith or Jordan Addison: Who Should You Start?
Historical comparison from 2026 Week 4 — one of these players isn’t on the current board.
Start Smith — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.
DeVonta Smith projects 15.6 to Addison's 11.6 and is the higher consensus play (WR16 to WR46). Addison's edge is availability, a clean report to Smith's Questionable. The gap is comfortable.
DeVonta Smith
9.512.515.6 Projected Points
Jordan Addison
7.89.711.6 Projected Points
Why DeVonta Smith
StartWR1-caliber outside receiver. Elite route technician with reliable hands and high target volume.
Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR16: 33% target share, 15.6 PPR projected vs LAR.
- Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
- LAR ranks 12 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 94% snap share.
Latest on Smith
Tim McManus breaks down the Eagles' wide receiver plans without DeVonta Smith.
The Eagles' go-to guy in key moments has always seen himself as WR1 -- now everyone else is just catching up.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Jordan Addison
Start· mediumWR2 and vertical field-stretcher. Slight-framed separator with deep-ball tracking and red-zone production.
90% snaps and a 24% target share on a 25.5-point implied total outweigh a tough-looking but thin 3-game DvP sample; ranks WR46.
- MIA ranks 5 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 25.5 team points as 7.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 90% snap share.
The call
- Role is locked in: WR-2 with a 90% snap share and a 24% target share over 3 games is weekly-starter usage in PPR.
- Game environment is strong: Minnesota's 25.5 implied total and a -7.5 spread point to a productive offense with plenty of scoring chances.
- The matchup grades tough (5 of 32 vs WRs), but that rests on a 3-game sample at 0.25 confidence, so it shouldn't drive the call.
- Risks: the WR46 rank and 11.6-point projection make him a flex-tier start rather than a lock. A heavy lead could also tilt late snaps toward the run. The ankle report is dated 2026-09-24 and refers to the Packers game, but he carries no designation this week.
Latest on Addison
Jordan Addison (ankle) expected to be available for Week 4 game vs. Green Bay Packers.
Minnesota Vikings · Sep 24, 2026Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | DeVonta Smith | Jordan Addison |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 9.512.515.6 | 7.89.711.6 |
| Consensus rank | WR16 | WR46 |
| Opponent vs position | LAR · 12 of 323-game sample | MIA · 5 of 323-game sample |
| Receptions | 1 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 6 of 32 | 8 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 24 of 32 | 3 of 32 |
| Targets | 4 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 24 of 32 | 3 of 32 |
| Target share | 33% | 24% |
| Reception share | 34% | 17% |
| Implied total · spread | 23.0+1.5 | 25.5-7.5 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | WR2 |
| Snap share | 94% | 90% |
| Injury designation | Questionable | — |
| Start/Sit record | — | 0–0+1 toss-up |
Recent form
DeVonta Smith — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs CHI | 6.59.512.5 |
| Week 2 | vs TEN | 17.722.727.7 |
| Week 1 | vs WSH | 5.36.88.3 |
Jordan Addison — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs TB | 15.017.520.0 |
| Week 2 | vs CHI | 2.13.14.1 |
| Week 1 | vs GB | 0.00.00.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 15.6 vs 11.6 projected PPR pointsDeVonta Smith +
- Rank 16 vs 46DeVonta Smith +
- Opponent DvP rank 12 vs 5 (32 = softest)DeVonta Smith +
- Implied 23.0 vs 25.5 team pointsJordan Addison +
- Questionable vs no designationJordan Addison +
- 94% vs 90% snap shareDeVonta Smith +
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