Darren Waller or Greg Dulcich: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Two touchdown-less floors: Waller's plus game script cancels Dulcich's plus matchup

Nobody is starting either of these guys expecting a spike week — both are low-volume seam options projected for the same modest PPR return. Waller's edge is where he plays: a 21-point implied Carolina total gives him more paths to garbage-time targets than Dulcich gets from a offense expected to score under 20. But Dulcich's matchup argument cuts the other way — he draws one of the softest defenses against tight ends on the board, while Waller's Chicago matchup is middle-of-the-pack. Those two factors roughly offset, and with identical 7.1 projections and both players fully healthy, there's no real separation to lean on here.

What flips it: A camp report signaling Waller's role expanding in Carolina's offense would tip this his way.

Sources: ESPN · Aug 26, 2026

AI editor

Darren Waller

Darren Waller

TE26CARvs CHI

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich

TE24MIAvs LV

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Darren Waller

Toss-Up

Toss-up — TE26 consensus, projects TE25 this week: 16% target share in 2025, 7.1 PPR projected vs CHI.

  • A 21.0 implied team total gives Waller more scripted passing volume to work with than Dulcich's offense projects.
  • 47% snap share edges Dulcich's 44%, a marginal but real workload advantage at a thin position.

Latest on Waller

2026 Carolina Panthers training camp: Latest intel, updates

Catch up on our updates from Panthers training camp, including intel on QBs, position battles and potential breakouts.

ESPN · Aug 26, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Greg Dulcich

Toss-Up

TE1 in receiving role. Seam-stretching athlete with injury-marked career arc and limited blocking value.

Toss-up — TE24 by consensus and projection: LV is the 5th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 14% target share in 2025.

  • Faces one of the softest tight-end matchups in the league this week, a real structural edge Waller lacks.
  • Ranked TE24 to Waller's TE26 in consensus, reflecting slightly more weekly trust from the field.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDarren WallerGreg Dulcich
Projected points
Consensus rankTE26TE24
Opponent vs positionCHI · 13 of 320-game sampleLV · 5 of 320-game sample
Receptions20 of 323 of 32
Receiving Yards13 of 323 of 32
Receiving TDs9 of 329 of 32
Targets16 of 323 of 32
Anytime TD9 of 329 of 32
Target share16%(2025)14%(2025)
Reception share16%(2025)15%(2025)
Implied total · spread21.0+2.519.3+3.0
Depth chartTE3TE1
Snap share47%(2025)44%(2025)

Signal breakdown

  • 7.1 vs 7.1 projected PPR pointsGreg Dulcich +
  • Rank 26 vs 24Greg Dulcich +
  • Opponent DvP rank 13 vs 5 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 21.0 vs 19.3 team pointsDarren Waller +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 47% vs 44% snap shareDarren Waller +

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