Chig Okonkwo or Greg Dulcich: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Two low-end TE2 options with mirrored ceilings — snap share is the only real separator

Neither Okonkwo nor Dulcich moves the needle much, but the way they get there differs. Okonkwo's 64% snap share gives him a much larger runway for extra targets to sneak through even against Philadelphia's tough DvP number, while Dulcich's slim edge in raw projection comes on a smaller route-running footprint that's easier for a defense to bottle up. The implied-total gap nudges toward Okonkwo's side too, since Washington projects to be in more scoring possessions than Miami. This is close enough that bye-week need or the receiver corps ahead of each of them should decide it as much as anything on this sheet.

What flips it: A Friday snap-count bump for either player, or a target-share jump for Dulcich as Miami's clear receiving TE1.

AI editor

Chig Okonkwo

TE25WSHvs PHI

3.85.36.8 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Greg Dulcich

TE24MIAvs LV

4.15.67.1 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Chig Okonkwo

Toss-Up

Starting TE in move/flex role. Athletic seam-stretcher with yards-after-catch juice, light in-line blocker.

Toss-up — TE25 consensus, projects TE26 this week: PHI is the 2nd-toughest matchup vs TEs, 15% target share in 2025.

His 64% snap share this season dwarfs Dulcich's 44%, meaning more clock to accumulate garbage-time or broken-play production.
Washington's higher implied total gives his offense more possessions to work with than Miami's.

Why Greg Dulcich

Toss-Up

TE1 in receiving role. Seam-stretching athlete with injury-marked career arc and limited blocking value.

Toss-up — TE24 by consensus and projection: LV is the 5th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 14% target share in 2025.

A move-role receiving TE1 whose per-snap efficiency, not volume, is doing the work — worth knowing if Miami's passing script opens up.
Slightly ahead in raw projection and consensus rank, for what a nearly identical sample size is worth.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Chig Okonkwo	Greg Dulcich
Projected points	3.85.36.8	4.15.67.1
Consensus rank	TE25	TE24
Opponent vs position	PHI · 2 of 320-game sample	LV · 5 of 320-game sample
Receptions	2 of 32	3 of 32
Receiving Yards	1 of 32	3 of 32
Receiving TDs	1 of 32	9 of 32
Targets	6 of 32	3 of 32
Anytime TD	1 of 32	9 of 32
Target share	15%(2025)	14%(2025)
Reception share	17%(2025)	15%(2025)
Implied total · spread	20.5+5.5	19.3+3.0
Depth chart	TE1	TE1
Snap share	64%(2025)	44%(2025)