Daniel Carlson or Jason Myers: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Myers gets the edge from Seattle’s stalled red-zone drives
Their similar scoring outlooks and field-goal volume leave little separation in the baseline; Seattle’s more frequent red-zone stalls are the meaningful separator, creating chances when drives fall short of touchdowns. Myers’ stronger standing among kickers backs the call, but Carlson’s dome setting and big-leg range keep him a credible alternative. The risk for Myers is that Seattle converts those red-zone trips into touchdowns instead of settling for kicks.
What flips it: Seattle converts its red-zone trips into touchdowns instead of settling for kicks.
AI editor
Daniel Carlson
8.98.98.9 Projected Points
Jason Myers
9.89.89.8 Projected Points
Why Daniel Carlson
Toss-Up· lowVeteran placekicker with big-leg range. Established accuracy over a long starting run.
Dome, a 24.0 implied total and -2.5 favorite status support a start, but a K21 consensus rank sits outside the 12-team starting tier.
- The dome removes weather as a reason to worry, and Carlson’s range gives him upside on longer attempts.
- His lower stall rate is a drawback, but a steadier red-zone offense can still supply extra-point chances.
The call
- The environment is kicker-friendly. He kicks indoors with no weather risk, his team's implied total is 24.0, and his team is a -2.5 favorite. That supports the 1.8 projected field goals and 2.5 extra points behind an 8.9-point projection.
- The leg is not in question: 50-plus makes in 4 games and a long of 60. He is the locked-in PK1 with no designation, and the model's start-lean has a real basis.
- The counterweight is concrete. Consensus has him at K21, well outside the 12 kickers started in this format. His offense stalls in the red zone only 0.7 times per game, over a 3-game sample, which limits extra field-goal chances. His 82% accuracy (22/27) is middling.
- What tips it: start him if your waiver alternatives rank below him or play outdoors in bad weather. If a kicker ranked inside roughly the top 14 is available, take that option instead.
Why Jason Myers
StartVeteran starting kicker. Long-tenured, high-volume leg with proven range.
Start — K4 by consensus, projects K2 this week: 1.7 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.8 pts projected vs LAC.
- Seattle can turn stalled drives into kicking opportunities without needing to finish with a touchdown.
- The broader kicker consensus also favors Myers, so the edge is supported beyond this week’s projection.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Daniel Carlson | Jason Myers |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 8.98.98.9 | 9.89.89.8 |
| Consensus rank | K21 | K4 |
| Projected FG attempts | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Red-zone stalls / game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Kicking conditions | Indoors, no weather risk | Calm forecast at kickoff |
| Implied total · spread | 24.0-2.5 | 24.3-3.0 |
| Field-goal % | 81.5%(2025) | 85.4%(2025) |
| Depth chart | K1 | K1 |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+2 toss-ups | — |
Recent form
Daniel Carlson — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs LV | 3.03.03.0 |
| Week 2 | vs BAL | 13.013.013.0 |
| Week 1 | vs DET | 5.05.05.0 |
Jason Myers — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs WSH | 9.09.09.0 |
| Week 2 | vs ARI | 7.07.07.0 |
| Week 1 | vs NE | 7.07.07.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 8.9 vs 9.8 projected PPR pointsJason Myers +
- Rank 21 vs 4Jason Myers +
- 2.2 vs 2.3 projected attemptsJason Myers +
- 0.7 vs 1.7 red-zone stalls per gameJason Myers +
- dome vs 6 mph, 71°F, cleareven
- Implied 24.0 vs 24.3 team pointsJason Myers +
- No injury designationseven
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More Carlson comparisons
More Myers comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs PHI
Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs PIT
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs PITC. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARI
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARID. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CIN
- B. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CINB. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GB
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GBD. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHIL. Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWRCHIvs NYJ
- L. Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWRCHIvs NYJC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TB
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TBP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CINM. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
- M. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYGS. DiggsStefon DiggsWRWSHvs IND
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs NO
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DENS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CAR
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CART. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TB
- T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TBT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LV
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LVJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOU
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOUI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs ARI
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs HOU
T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CIN
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CINB. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DEN
- B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DENP. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LV
- P. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LVB. NixBo NixQBDENvs SF
- B. NixBo NixQBDENvs SFM. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHI
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHIK. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs MIA
- K. FairbairnKa'imi FairbairnKHOUvs DAL
H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs LV
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs LVT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TEN
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TENW. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIA
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIAE. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAX
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAXS. ShraderSpencer ShraderKINDvs WSH
- S. ShraderSpencer ShraderKINDvs WSHD. CarlsonDaniel CarlsonKNOvs ATL
- Commanders D/STCommanders D/STDSTWSHvs IND
Bills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NE
- Bills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NEBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJ
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TB
- Packers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TBGiants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs ARI
- Giants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs ARIBuccaneers D/STBuccaneers D/STDSTTBvs GB
- Buccaneers D/STBuccaneers D/STDSTTBvs GB49ers D/ST49ers D/STDSTSFvs DEN
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARIP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIND. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJD. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TBG. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DENT. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
- J. DownsJosh DownsWRINDvs WSH
D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL - D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DALM. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
- J. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs DET
K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs PHI
Get a Start/Sit call on your whole roster →
Save your team once and see a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up verdict on every player, every week — with the matchup, usage and game-script evidence behind each call.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.