D'Andre Swift or Mark Andrews: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Game script is the selling point: a 27.0 implied team total and an 8.5-point spread point to a positive, run-friendly flow where the lead back keeps getting volume late.
• His role is solid at a 65% snap share, and a 10% target share adds a PPR floor. That supports the RB21 consensus rank and 14.6-point projection, which clears a typical replacement option.
• The matchup is neutral at 16 of 32 in DvP, and it rests on only 3 games (confidence 0.25), so it neither helps nor hurts much.
• The real risk is health. Sports Illustrated reported on 2026-10-01 that he was added to the injury report with a knee issue and did not practice Thursday. The sheet still shows no designation, but if he misses Friday practice or draws a game-status tag, downgrade him to a toss-up and line up a pivot.

The call

• Usage is the anchor. A 25% target share is TE1-caliber volume, and 65% snap share keeps him on the field for the high-value downs.
• Baltimore's 28.0 implied total and -8.5 spread point to plenty of scoring chances. That boosts his touchdown equity even if positive game script trims late passing volume.
• The matchup is the knock: TEN grades 5 of 32 vs TEs. That composite rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so don't let it override the role.
• Health looks fine. He carries no designation, and Yahoo Sports (2026-10-02) reported a full Thursday practice despite a hand ailment. The 10.0-point TE15 projection sits right at the TE1 line, so he's a start over typical replacement options.