Colston Loveland or KC Concepcion: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Loveland gets the narrow head-to-head nod, not a green light

Loveland’s stronger consensus standing and better team scoring outlook narrowly outweigh Concepcion’s better recent receiving evidence in this comparison, but Loveland’s published SIT verdict still stands. The concern is his actual role: SI.com (Bears On SI) 2026-09-22 reports he has been nearly invisible as a receiver and primarily used to block. Concepcion’s target involvement and steady recent production make him a credible alternative; another blocking-heavy game from Loveland could erase this slim edge.

What flips it: Loveland again being used primarily as a blocker.

Sources: SI.com (Bears On SI) · Sep 22, 2026

AI editor

Colston Loveland

Colston Loveland

TE3CHIvs PHI

Projected Points

Sit
KC Concepcion

KC Concepcion

WR52CLEvs CAR

Projected Points

Toss-Up· low

Colston Loveland’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-115 / -111
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 33.5
-115 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+310
Anytime Touchdown Props →

KC Concepcion’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-131 / +103
REC YDS
O/U 32.5
-113 / -111
ATD
Anytime TD
+340
PHI@
CHIMon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
CAR@
CLESun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Colston Loveland

Sit

TE1 and pass-catching mismatch. Seam-stretching move tight end with flex alignment and rising target volume.

Sit — TE3 consensus, projects TE16 this week: PHI is the 2nd-toughest matchup vs TEs, 24.0 implied team total.

  • The stronger team scoring outlook gives Loveland more opportunity if his offense reaches scoring range.
  • SI.com (Bears On SI) 2026-09-22 describes a blocking-first role that undercuts the receiving upside behind his TE3 standing.

Latest on Loveland

Role

Loveland has been almost invisible through two games with just one catch for three yards on five targets, and his primary role has instead been as a blocker, including being responsible for the block on the game-ending sack allowed against Minnesota.

SI.com (Bears On SI) · Sep 22, 2026
'No block, no rock' is not just a mantra for Bears' offense

When even the "little guys" are getting a hat on a hat, it's that much easier to post 59 points and over 500 yards.

ESPN · Sep 16, 2026
Colston Loveland's Week 2 preview
VideoESPN · Sep 16, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why KC Concepcion

Toss-Up· low

Rookie WR in a starting role. Twitchy slot/flanker with YAC burst and return-game background.

21% target share gives him flex appeal, but a WR52 rank and a 19.0 implied team total put him right at replacement level.

  • A 21% target share has produced usable outings in each of his first two games.
  • His starting slot/flanker role and YAC burst give him a path to production even in a weaker team scoring environment.

The call

  • Usage is the selling point: a 21% target share as the WR-2 is a real role through 2 games, and 11.0 projected PPR points is flex-viable in a 12-team league.
  • The WR52 consensus rank sits at the edge of the 12-team flex pool. The model's start-lean is soft rather than a clear green light.
  • A 68% snap share means he still comes off the field. The 19.0 implied team total points to limited scoring chances, which caps his ceiling.
  • The matchup doesn't tip it. CAR ranks 14 of 32 vs WRs on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so treat it as neutral. Start him if your alternative is a part-time or low-target WR/TE; sit him for any WR projected in the top 45.

Head-to-head stats

MetricColston LovelandKC Concepcion
Projected points
Consensus rankTE3WR52
Opponent vs positionPHI · 2 of 322-game sampleCAR · 14 of 322-game sample
Receptions3 of 3225 of 32
Receiving Yards2 of 3216 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 326 of 32
Targets3 of 3216 of 32
Anytime TD1 of 326 of 32
Target share9%21%
Reception share2%25%
Implied total · spread24.0-1.519.0+1.5
Depth chartTE1WR2
Snap share87%68%
Start/Sit record—0–0+1 toss-up

Recent form

Colston Loveland — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs MIN
Week 1vs CAR

KC Concepcion — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs TB
Week 1vs JAX

Signal breakdown

  • 9.7 vs 11.0 projected PPR pointsKC Concepcion +
  • Rank 3 vs 52Colston Loveland +
  • Opponent DvP rank 2 vs 14 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 24.0 vs 19.0 team pointsColston Loveland +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 87% vs 68% snap shareColston Loveland +

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