Bengals D/ST or Dolphins D/ST: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Bengals D/ST and Dolphins D/ST grade out even this week. the Bengals's best edge is lineup share (started rank 26 to 31), the Dolphins's best edge is opponent giveaways (4.0 sacks allowed to 2.4) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Bengals D/ST

D/STCINvs TB

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Dolphins D/ST

D/STMIAvs LV

Projected Points

Start

Why Bengals D/ST

Toss-Up

Toss-up — a middling defensive matchup (No. 21 this week): at home, and 4.4 pts projected vs TB.

  • TB's offense gives up 2.4 sacks and 0.9 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
  • Vegas has TB at 23.5 points as 3.5-point dogs.
  • Under-started: only 1% of leagues have them in, 26th among defenses, against a No. 21 matchup.

Why Dolphins D/ST

Start

Start — the No. 23 defensive matchup this week: LV gives up 4.0 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game, and 4.2 pts projected vs LV.

  • LV's offense gives up 4.0 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game (2025), well above league average.
  • Vegas has LV at 22.3 points as 3-point favorites.
  • Under-started: only 0% of leagues have them in, 31st among defenses, against a No. 23 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricBengals D/STDolphins D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST21Proj.DST23
Started in1% of leagues0% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game2.4(2025)4.0(2025)
Opponent turnovers / game0.9(2025)1.4(2025)
Opponent implied total23.522.3
Home / awayHomeAway

Signal breakdown

  • 4.4 vs 4.2 projected PPR pointsBengals D/ST +
  • Started rank 26 vs 31 (1% vs 0% of leagues)Bengals D/ST +
  • 2.4 sacks / 0.9 TO vs 4.0 sacks / 1.4 TO per game allowedDolphins D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 23.5 vs 22.3 pointsDolphins D/ST +
  • Home vs AwayBengals D/ST +

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