Cam Little or Will Reichard: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Little wins the kicker edge on scoring environment, not field-goal volume

Cam Little is the better start because Jacksonville’s stronger scoring outlook and more frequent red-zone stalls give his reliable long-range leg more ways to matter. The call is narrow: projected field-goal volume is identical, and Reichard’s dome setting plus superior accuracy makes him the cleaner floor play. Reichard’s path is a lower-variance night, but Little’s stronger market standing and extra scoring environment supply the deciding ceiling; his risk is Jacksonville turning drives into touchdowns or failing to sustain its expected advantage.

What flips it: A Jacksonville scoring downgrade that removes the expected extra-point and field-goal chances.

AI editor

Cam Little

Cam Little

K6JAXvs CLE

Projected Points

Start
Will Reichard

Will Reichard

K12MINvs GB

Projected Points

Start· medium

Why Cam Little

Start

Starting K with elite leg strength. Proven range well beyond 55 yards.

Start — K6 by consensus, projects K7 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.8 pts projected vs CLE.

  • Jacksonville’s projected scoring edge gives Little more routes to points beyond the comparable field-goal workload.
  • His long-range profile fits a game where a lead can create late field-goal chances rather than force desperation attempts.

Why Will Reichard

Start· medium

Starting K with strong leg. Handles kickoffs and long-range attempts.

Dome game, 94% accuracy (33/35) with a 62-yard long and 1.3 red-zone stalls per game make Reichard a clean K12 play with no weather risk.

  • Reichard offers the safer miss-avoidance profile, with a dome eliminating weather as a source of variance.
  • Minnesota’s lower scoring outlook still works for him if stalled drives consistently become field-goal tries.

The call

  • Indoor game removes the biggest kicker variable — no wind or precipitation to shrink the range on a leg that's already hit from 50-plus in nine games this season.
  • 94% accuracy (33/35) as the locked-in PK1 with no injury designation means every attempt projects as near-automatic points.
  • An offense that stalls in the red zone 1.3 times per game feeds the FG volume: 2.1 attempts and 2.0 extra points projected off a 21.5 implied total.
  • The 21.5 implied total is modest and the 1.5 spread means a tight script, but K12 with a dome and this accuracy profile is above replacement in a 12-team league.

Head-to-head stats

MetricCam LittleWill Reichard
Projected points
Consensus rankK6K12
Projected FG attempts2.12.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.3(2025)
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoffIndoors, no weather risk
Implied total · spread24.0-7.521.5+1.5
Field-goal %88.2%(2025)94.3%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1

Signal breakdown

  • 8.8 vs 8.4 projected PPR pointsCam Little +
  • Rank 6 vs 12Cam Little +
  • 2.1 vs 2.1 projected attemptseven
  • 1.6 vs 1.3 red-zone stalls per gameCam Little +
  • 3 mph, 98°F, clear vs domeeven
  • Implied 24.0 vs 21.5 team pointsCam Little +
  • No injury designationseven

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