Cam Little or Nick Folk? Start Cam Little — Week 2 Start/Sit Verdict

Little narrowly beats Folk on steadier opportunity, not weekly scoring upside

Cam Little gets the edge in this comparison, but this is not a strong standalone endorsement. The projected scoring gap is noise for kickers; Little's better consensus standing and Jacksonville's tendency to stall in the red zone give him the stronger opportunity profile, even with Atlanta holding the better team outlook. Folk has a real counterargument in that favorable script, excellent accuracy and controlled roof conditions, while Little's main risk is that Jacksonville's modest scoring expectation limits his ceiling.

What flips it: A meaningful rise in Atlanta’s scoring outlook or a further drop in Jacksonville’s offensive expectation.

AI editor

Cam Little

K7JAXvs DEN

8.28.28.2 Projected Points

Sit

Nick Folk

K17ATLvs CAR

8.38.38.3 Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

JAX@

DENSun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETView the game →

CAR@

ATLSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Cam Little

Sit

Starting K with elite leg strength. Proven range well beyond 55 yards.

Sit — K7 by consensus, projects K18 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.2 pts projected vs DEN.

Jacksonville’s red-zone stalls support field-goal access even when its offense struggles to finish drives.
Little’s elite range protects his usable floor if Jacksonville settles for longer attempts.

Why Nick Folk

Toss-Up· medium

Veteran starting kicker. Reliable accuracy and long-track-record consistency in the field-goal role.

K17 with only 8.3 projected, but 97% accuracy (28/29), a roof and 2.1 FG tries keep him a viable streamer in the 12-team K slot.

Atlanta’s stronger scoring environment can create extra conversion chances despite fewer expected stalls.
Folk’s accuracy and roof protection make misses less likely in a narrow matchup.

The call

The rank is the problem, not the process: K17 at 8.3 projected points sits right on the 12-team replacement line, so he's only a start if your alternative isn't a top-12 name.
Everything else is clean — 97% accuracy (28/29) with a 58-yard long and 50-plus makes in 6 games, a retractable roof with a calm forecast either way, and PK1 with no designation.
Volume is workable: 2.1 attempts and 1.9 extra points off a 23.0 implied total, supported by 1.2 red-zone stalls per game that convert drives into field-goal tries.
A 1.5-point spread means a tight game that could break either way — start him over an outdoor kicker in weather, sit him for a kicker attached to a higher implied total.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Cam Little	Nick Folk
Projected points	8.28.28.2	8.38.38.3
Consensus rank	K7	K17
Projected FG attempts	2.0	2.1
Red-zone stalls / game	1.6(2025)	1.2(2025)
Kicking conditions	Calm forecast at kickoff	Retractable roof, calm forecast either way
Implied total · spread	20.5+2.5	23.0-1.5
Field-goal %	88.2%(2025)	96.6%(2025)
Depth chart	K1	K1
Start/Sit record	—	0–0+1 toss-up

Signal breakdown

8.2 vs 8.3 projected PPR pointsNick Folk +
Rank 7 vs 17Cam Little +
2.0 vs 2.1 projected attemptsNick Folk +
1.6 vs 1.2 red-zone stalls per gameCam Little +
6 mph, 75°F, clear vs 2 mph, 84°F, cleareven
Implied 20.5 vs 23.0 team pointsNick Folk +
No injury designationseven

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Cam Little or Nick Folk: Who Should You Start?