Cade Otton or Greg Dulcich: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Otton — the snap share and game script edges are too wide to ignore.

Cade Otton plays a 94% snap share to Dulcich's 44% and plays in the better game script (23.5 implied team points to 19.3). Dulcich's edge is the projection, 7.1 to 6.3. The gap is narrow.

Cade Otton

Cade Otton

TE25TBvs CIN

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich

TE24MIAvs LV

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Cade Otton

Toss-Up

Starting TE and reliable underneath target. Volume checkdown option with dependable hands, limited vertical juice.

Toss-up — TE25 consensus, projects TE29 this week: CIN is the 1st-softest matchup vs TEs, 17% target share in 2025.

  • CIN ranks 32 of 32 against TEs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 94% snap share in 2025.

Why Greg Dulcich

Toss-Up

TE1 in receiving role. Seam-stretching athlete with injury-marked career arc and limited blocking value.

Toss-up — TE24 by consensus and projection: LV is the 5th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 14% target share in 2025.

  • LV ranks 5 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 44% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

MetricCade OttonGreg Dulcich
Projected points
Consensus rankTE25TE24
Opponent vs positionCIN · 32 of 320-game sampleLV · 5 of 320-game sample
Receptions32 of 323 of 32
Receiving Yards32 of 323 of 32
Receiving TDs32 of 329 of 32
Targets32 of 323 of 32
Anytime TD32 of 329 of 32
Target share17%(2025)14%(2025)
Reception share19%(2025)15%(2025)
Implied total · spread23.5+3.519.3+3.0
Depth chartTE1TE1
Snap share94%(2025)44%(2025)

Signal breakdown

  • 6.3 vs 7.1 projected PPR pointsGreg Dulcich +
  • Rank 25 vs 24Greg Dulcich +
  • Opponent DvP rank 32 vs 5 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 23.5 vs 19.3 team pointsCade Otton +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 94% vs 44% snap shareCade Otton +

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