Brandon Aubrey or Will Reichard: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Aubrey's Dallas scoring environment gives him the edge over Reichard

Aubrey gets the nod because Dallas offers the better scoring environment and more paths to field-goal volume; that edge is meaningful for a kicker, not just projection noise. Reichard is the cleaner efficiency play—his dome setting and accuracy reduce failure risk—but Minnesota’s lower scoring outlook and fewer red-zone stalls cap the upside. Aubrey’s risk is conversion: his range invites aggressive attempts, yet missed kicks would erase the volume advantage. Reichard remains a viable start if you prioritize floor over Dallas’ broader scoring opportunity.

What flips it: A meaningful drop in Dallas’ scoring outlook or a change to Aubrey’s PK1 status.

AI editor

Brandon Aubrey

Brandon Aubrey

K1DALvs NYG

Projected Points

Start
Will Reichard

Will Reichard

K12MINvs GB

Projected Points

Start· medium
DAL@
NYGSun, Sep 13, 8:20 PM ETView the game →
GB@
MINSun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETView the game →

Why Brandon Aubrey

Start

Starting K with elite leg strength. Reliable from extreme distance and on kickoffs.

Start — K1 by consensus, projects K2 this week: 2.3 FG tries projected, above the 2.0 median, and 1.6 red-zone stalls a game.

  • Dallas’ stronger scoring outlook supports both extra-point chances and sustained field-goal opportunity.
  • Aubrey’s elite range lets Dallas cash in when drives stall outside the red zone.

Why Will Reichard

Start· medium

Starting K with strong leg. Handles kickoffs and long-range attempts.

Dome game, 94% accuracy (33/35) with a 62-yard long and 1.3 red-zone stalls per game make Reichard a clean K12 play with no weather risk.

  • Reichard’s dome removes weather variance, giving his strong accuracy a stable setting.
  • His long-range ability keeps him live for ceiling even if Minnesota’s offense underperforms.

The call

  • Indoor game removes the biggest kicker variable — no wind or precipitation to shrink the range on a leg that's already hit from 50-plus in nine games this season.
  • 94% accuracy (33/35) as the locked-in PK1 with no injury designation means every attempt projects as near-automatic points.
  • An offense that stalls in the red zone 1.3 times per game feeds the FG volume: 2.1 attempts and 2.0 extra points projected off a 21.5 implied total.
  • The 21.5 implied total is modest and the 1.5 spread means a tight script, but K12 with a dome and this accuracy profile is above replacement in a 12-team league.

Head-to-head stats

MetricBrandon AubreyWill Reichard
Projected points
Consensus rankK1K12
Projected FG attempts2.32.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.3(2025)
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoffIndoors, no weather risk
Implied total · spread25.0-1.521.5+1.5
Field-goal %85.7%(2025)94.3%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1

Signal breakdown

  • 9.9 vs 8.4 projected PPR pointsBrandon Aubrey +
  • Rank 1 vs 12Brandon Aubrey +
  • 2.3 vs 2.1 projected attemptsBrandon Aubrey +
  • 1.6 vs 1.3 red-zone stalls per gameBrandon Aubrey +
  • 3 mph, 76°F, clear vs domeeven
  • Implied 25.0 vs 21.5 team pointsBrandon Aubrey +
  • No injury designationseven

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