Terry McLaurin or Tucker Kraft: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Terry McLaurin and Tucker Kraft grade out even this week. McLaurin's best edge is the projection (12.9 to 8.9), Kraft's best edge is the consensus rank (TE9 to WR22) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
Terry McLaurin
8.810.912.9 Projected Points
Tucker Kraft
5.06.98.9 Projected Points
Terry McLaurin’s market
Tucker Kraft’s market
Why Terry McLaurin
StartWR1 and offensive centerpiece. Explosive vertical route-runner with elite release package; missed time in 2025.
Start — WR22 consensus, projects WR25 this week: 26.0 implied team total, 24% target share.
- IND ranks 15 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 26.0 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 77% snap share.
Latest on McLaurin
Experts weigh in on Daniels' latest injury and what it means for him, the Commanders and their collective futures.
John Keim explains why Terry McLaurin has patience amid the Commanders' 0-2 start.
After a short video clip showed a number of Commanders walking past Jayden Daniels as he was being helped by medical personnel Sunday, many players fired back at the takes being spouted on social media, emphasizing, "It's bulls--- what people are saying."
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Tucker Kraft
Start· mediumTE1 and primary seam threat. Physical yards-after-catch producer and capable in-line blocker; returning from injury.
Consensus TE9 with an 80% snap share and no snap count per PFF. A top-12 TE role is a start in 12-team leagues despite a neutral matchup.
- TB ranks 19 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 80% snap share.
The call
- Role is locked in. Kraft has an 80% snap share over 3 games, and PFF reported he 'rarely left the field in Week 3' despite early snap-count talk. For a tight end, that is every-down usage.
- Consensus TE9 at 8.9 projected PPR points puts him inside the starting tier at a thin position. A typical replacement option on waivers projects lower.
- The TB matchup is neutral at 19 of 32 on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it doesn't push either way. A 24.5 implied team total and -1.5 spread point to a competitive, scoring-friendly script.
- The main risk is a modest 14% target share, which caps his floor. I'm breaking from the house toss-up lean because full-time snaps plus a TE9 rank clear the bar. He is still a start rather than a lock.
Latest on Kraft
Tucker Kraft rarely left the field in Week 3 despite suggestions he could be on a snap count early in the season.
PFF · Sep 26, 2026Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Falcons-Packers on "Thursday Night Football."
Packers tight end eager to rise to the occasion, win games
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Terry McLaurin | Tucker Kraft |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 8.810.912.9 | 5.06.98.9 |
| Consensus rank | WR22 | TE9 |
| Opponent vs position | IND · 15 of 323-game sample | TB · 19 of 323-game sample |
| Receptions | 14 of 32 | 19 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 28 of 32 | 21 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 15 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Targets | 5 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 14 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Target share | 24% | 14% |
| Reception share | 17% | 14% |
| Implied total · spread | 26.0-1.5 | 24.5-1.5 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 77% | 80% |
| Start/Sit record | — | 0–3 |
Recent form
Terry McLaurin — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs SEA | 13.716.719.7 |
| Week 2 | vs DAL | 5.06.07.0 |
| Week 1 | vs PHI | 1.42.43.4 |
Tucker Kraft — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs ATL | 2.64.66.6 |
| Week 2 | vs NYJ | 1.52.53.5 |
| Week 1 | vs MIN | 6.58.09.5 |
Signal breakdown
- 12.9 vs 8.9 projected PPR pointsTerry McLaurin +
- Rank 22 vs 9Tucker Kraft +
- Opponent DvP rank 15 vs 19 (32 = softest)Tucker Kraft +
- Implied 26.0 vs 24.5 team pointsTerry McLaurin +
- No injury designationseven
- 77% vs 80% snap shareTucker Kraft +
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