Rashee Rice or Terrance Ferguson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Rice — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Rashee Rice is the higher consensus play (WR11 to TE22) and projects 12.7 to Ferguson's 10.6. No signal favors Ferguson this week. The gap is wide.

Rashee Rice

Rashee Rice

WR11KCvs MIA

Projected Points

Start
Terrance Ferguson

Terrance Ferguson

TE22LARvs DEN

Projected Points

Toss-Up· low

Rashee Rice’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
+113 / -144
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 46.5
-115 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+145
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Terrance Ferguson’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-156 / +122
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 50.5
-111 / -112
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+230
Anytime Touchdown Props →
KC@
MIASun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
LAR@
DENSun, Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETView the game →

Why Rashee Rice

Start

WR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with heavy in-breaking route usage.

Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR11: MIA is the 5th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 26.0 implied team total.

  • MIA ranks 5 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 26.0 team points as 7.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 81% snap share.

Latest on Rice

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Terrance Ferguson

Toss-Up· low

Second-year TE2 and athletic receiving option. Explosive seam threat with big-play efficiency and red-zone scoring value behind the starter.

18% target share and a 24.3 implied total support the start-lean, but TE22 rank, a stingy DEN matchup (8 of 32) and an ankle note cap the upside.

  • DEN ranks 8 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 55% snap share.

The call

  • Usage is the case for him: an 18% target share on a 55% snap share is starter-caliber volume for a tight end, and the 10.6 PPR projection reflects that.
  • Game environment helps. The Rams are 3-point favorites with a 24.3 implied total, so scoring chances should be there.
  • Matchup cuts the other way. DEN ranks 8 of 32 vs TEs (32 = softest), though that rests on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so weight it lightly.
  • Risk: Yahoo (2026-09-23) reported he was a surprise limited participant with an ankle injury. He carries no designation now, but at TE22 he sits outside the 12-team starter tier. Start him over a streamer outside the top 15; sit him for anyone ranked there or higher.

Latest on Ferguson

Status

Terrance Ferguson was listed as a limited participant with an ankle injury and was a surprise addition to Wednesday's injury report.

Yahoo Sports · Sep 23, 2026
How to bet Rams-Broncos on 'SNF': Analysis, tips and favorite plays

Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Rams-Broncos on "Sunday Night Football."

ESPN · Sep 27, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricRashee RiceTerrance Ferguson
Projected points
Consensus rankWR11TE22
Opponent vs positionMIA · 5 of 322-game sampleDEN · 8 of 322-game sample
Receptions7 of 329 of 32
Receiving Yards6 of 3221 of 32
Receiving TDs6 of 321 of 32
Targets2 of 327 of 32
Anytime TD6 of 321 of 32
Target share19%18%
Reception share19%15%
Implied total · spread26.0-7.524.3-3.0
Depth chartWR1TE2
Snap share81%55%
Start/Sit record—0–0+1 toss-up

Recent form

Rashee Rice — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs IND
Week 1vs DEN

Terrance Ferguson — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs NYG
Week 1vs SF

Signal breakdown

  • 12.7 vs 10.6 projected PPR pointsRashee Rice +
  • Rank 11 vs 22Rashee Rice +
  • Opponent DvP rank 5 vs 8 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 26.0 vs 24.3 team pointsRashee Rice +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 81% vs 55% snap shareRashee Rice +

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