Pat Freiermuth or Tyler Allgeier: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Start Freiermuth — the consensus rank and game script edges are too wide to ignore.

Pat Freiermuth is the higher consensus play (TE24 to RB48) and plays in the better game script (21.5 implied team points to 19.3). Allgeier's edge is the projection, 8.0 to 7.9. The gap is comfortable.

Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth

TE24PITvs CLE

Projected Points

Start
Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier

RB48ARIvs NYG

Projected Points

Sit

Pat Freiermuth’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+103 / -131
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 28.5
-114 / -110
Receiving Yards Props →

Tyler Allgeier’s market

Why Pat Freiermuth

Start

TE1 in pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover with red-zone size and dependable hands.

Start — TE24 consensus, projects TE21 this week: 13% target share, 7.9 PPR projected vs CLE.

  • CLE ranks 19 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 66% snap share.

Latest on Freiermuth

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Tyler Allgeier

Sit

Power back splitting a committee backfield. Compact downhill runner and short-yardage/goal-line finisher with red-zone scoring value.

Sit — bench-tier RB at consensus RB48: 7% target share, 8.0 PPR projected vs NYG.

  • NYG ranks 13 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.3 team points as 7.0-point underdogs.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 53% snap share.

Head-to-head stats

MetricPat FreiermuthTyler Allgeier
Projected points
Consensus rankTE24RB48
Opponent vs positionCLE · 19 of 323-game sampleNYG · 13 of 323-game sample
Receptions25 of 329 of 32
Receiving Yards24 of 3211 of 32
Receiving TDs10 of 32—
Targets27 of 32—
Anytime TD9 of 3221 of 32
Rushing Yards—20 of 32
Rushing TDs—8 of 32
Rushing Attempts—9 of 32
Target share13%7%
Reception share17%10%
Implied total · spread21.5-2.519.3+7.0
Depth chartTE1RB2
Snap share66%53%

Recent form

Pat Freiermuth — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CIN
Week 2vs NE
Week 1vs ATL

Tyler Allgeier — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs SF
Week 2vs SEA
Week 1vs LAC

Signal breakdown

  • 7.9 vs 8.0 projected PPR pointsTyler Allgeier +
  • Rank 24 vs 48Pat Freiermuth +
  • Opponent DvP rank 19 vs 13 (32 = softest)Pat Freiermuth +
  • Implied 21.5 vs 19.3 team pointsPat Freiermuth +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 66% vs 53% snap sharePat Freiermuth +

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