Kalif Raymond or Xavier Worthy: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Kalif Raymond and Xavier Worthy grade out even this week. Raymond's best edge is the game script (27.0 implied points to 24.5), Worthy's best edge is snap share (82% to 66%) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond

WRCHIvs NYJ

Projected Points

Start· medium
Xavier Worthy

Xavier Worthy

WR49KCvs LV

Projected Points

Start

Kalif Raymond’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+111 / -142
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 31.5
-110 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →

Xavier Worthy’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+134 / -172
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 33.5
-113 / -111
Receiving Yards Props →

Why Kalif Raymond

Start· medium

Veteran WR3 and slot/return specialist. Undersized speed piece with quickness and punt-return value.

23% target share on a 27.0 implied total backs a 10.1-point projection; neutral NYJ matchup (14 of 32) keeps him a flex-level start.

  • NYJ ranks 13 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 8.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR-3 on the latest depth chart with a 66% snap share.

The call

  • Usage is the driver: a 23% target share over 3 games is strong for a WR-3, though a 66% snap share means he isn't on the field every down.
  • Game environment helps: a 27.0 implied team total and -8.5 spread point to a productive offense. A big lead could shift volume to the run late.
  • Matchup is neutral, not a boost: NYJ ranks 14 of 32 vs WRs, but on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so lean on role over DvP.
  • A 10.1 PPR projection with no injury designation clears typical replacement level in 12-team leagues. The ESPN headline adds no verified news, so confidence stays medium.

Latest on Raymond

Odds and analysis to help you bet Eagles-Bears on "Monday Night Football."

ESPN · Sep 28, 2026

Despite being the Bears' leading receiver in their Week 1 win over the Panthers, Kalif Raymond is focused more on the team's success than his personal stats, saying, "I don’t really look at that stuff ... we won, and that’s all I’m thinking about."

chicagobears.com · Sep 18, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Xavier Worthy

Start

WR2 and vertical speed threat. Elite track speed with jet-motion and manufactured-touch usage.

Start — WR49 consensus, projects WR47 this week: 24.5 implied team total, 17% target share.

  • LV ranks 7 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 5.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 82% snap share.

Latest on Worthy

Role

Worthy has had 15 targets and 10 receptions for 36 yards this season.

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs have rediscovered the deep passESPN · Oct 2, 2026
VideoESPN · Sep 21, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricKalif RaymondXavier Worthy
Projected points
Consensus rank—WR49
Opponent vs positionNYJ · 13 of 323-game sampleLV · 7 of 323-game sample
Receptions19 of 321 of 32
Receiving Yards4 of 3214 of 32
Receiving TDs15 of 321 of 32
Targets15 of 3219 of 32
Anytime TD14 of 321 of 32
Target share23%17%
Reception share29%15%
Implied total · spread27.0-8.524.5-5.5
Depth chartWR3WR2
Snap share66%82%
Start/Sit record—1–1+1 toss-up

Recent form

Kalif Raymond — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs PHI
Week 2vs MIN
Week 1vs CAR

Xavier Worthy — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs MIA
Week 2vs IND
Week 1vs DEN

Signal breakdown

  • 10.1 vs 9.8 projected PPR pointsKalif Raymond +
  • Consensus position rankeven
  • Opponent DvP rank 13 vs 7 (32 = softest)Kalif Raymond +
  • Implied 27.0 vs 24.5 team pointsKalif Raymond +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 66% vs 82% snap shareXavier Worthy +

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