Kalif Raymond or Tucker Kraft: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Kalif Raymond and Tucker Kraft grade out even this week. Raymond's best edge is the projection (10.1 to 8.9), Kraft's best edge is snap share (80% to 66%) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
Kalif Raymond
5.57.810.1 Projected Points
Tucker Kraft
5.06.98.9 Projected Points
Kalif Raymond’s market
Tucker Kraft’s market
Why Kalif Raymond
Start· mediumVeteran WR3 and slot/return specialist. Undersized speed piece with quickness and punt-return value.
23% target share and a 27.0 implied total as an 8.5-point favorite outweigh a neutral NYJ matchup; 10.1 projection plays as a flex.
- NYJ ranks 14 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 8.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR-3 on the latest depth chart with a 66% snap share.
The call
- Usage is the driver: a 23% target share on 66% of snaps over 3 games gives him volume well above what a WR-3 depth-chart slot suggests.
- Game environment helps. A 27.0 implied team total means scoring chances, though a -8.5 spread could mean a run-heavy fourth quarter that caps late volume.
- The matchup is roughly neutral. NYJ ranks 14 of 32 vs WRs, but that rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it shouldn't swing the call either way.
- The 10.1 PPR projection makes him a viable flex over typical replacement options, with no injury designation. The WR-3 role and modest snap share keep the ceiling limited, so confidence stays medium.
Latest on Raymond
Odds and analysis to help you bet Eagles-Bears on "Monday Night Football."
Despite being the Bears' leading receiver in their Week 1 win over the Panthers, Kalif Raymond is focused more on the team's success than his personal stats, saying, "I don’t really look at that stuff ... we won, and that’s all I’m thinking about."
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Tucker Kraft
Start· mediumTE1 and primary seam threat. Physical yards-after-catch producer and capable in-line blocker; returning from injury.
Consensus TE9 with an 80% snap share and no snap count per PFF. A top-12 TE role is a start in 12-team leagues despite a neutral matchup.
- TB ranks 19 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 80% snap share.
The call
- Role is locked in. Kraft has an 80% snap share over 3 games, and PFF reported he 'rarely left the field in Week 3' despite early snap-count talk. For a tight end, that is every-down usage.
- Consensus TE9 at 8.9 projected PPR points puts him inside the starting tier at a thin position. A typical replacement option on waivers projects lower.
- The TB matchup is neutral at 19 of 32 on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it doesn't push either way. A 24.5 implied team total and -1.5 spread point to a competitive, scoring-friendly script.
- The main risk is a modest 14% target share, which caps his floor. I'm breaking from the house toss-up lean because full-time snaps plus a TE9 rank clear the bar. He is still a start rather than a lock.
Latest on Kraft
Tucker Kraft rarely left the field in Week 3 despite suggestions he could be on a snap count early in the season.
PFF · Sep 26, 2026Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Falcons-Packers on "Thursday Night Football."
Packers tight end eager to rise to the occasion, win games
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Kalif Raymond | Tucker Kraft |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.57.810.1 | 5.06.98.9 |
| Consensus rank | — | TE9 |
| Opponent vs position | NYJ · 14 of 323-game sample | TB · 19 of 323-game sample |
| Receptions | 20 of 32 | 19 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 4 of 32 | 21 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 15 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Targets | 15 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 14 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Target share | 23% | 14% |
| Reception share | 29% | 14% |
| Implied total · spread | 27.0-8.5 | 24.5-1.5 |
| Depth chart | WR3 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 66% | 80% |
| Start/Sit record | — | 0–3 |
Recent form
Kalif Raymond — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs PHI | 15.018.021.0 |
| Week 2 | vs MIN | 4.06.59.0 |
| Week 1 | vs CAR | 8.412.416.4 |
Tucker Kraft — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs ATL | 2.64.66.6 |
| Week 2 | vs NYJ | 1.52.53.5 |
| Week 1 | vs MIN | 6.58.09.5 |
Signal breakdown
- 10.1 vs 8.9 projected PPR pointsKalif Raymond +
- Consensus position rankeven
- Opponent DvP rank 14 vs 19 (32 = softest)Tucker Kraft +
- Implied 27.0 vs 24.5 team pointsKalif Raymond +
- No injury designationseven
- 66% vs 80% snap shareTucker Kraft +
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