Kalif Raymond or Quinshon Judkins: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Kalif Raymond and Quinshon Judkins grade out even this week. Raymond's best edge is the game script (27.0 implied points to 19.0), Judkins's best edge is the projection (12.5 to 10.1) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

In standard scoring this flips to Judkins.

Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond

WRCHIvs NYJ

Projected Points

Start· medium
Quinshon Judkins

Quinshon Judkins

RB19CLEvs PIT

Projected Points

Start· medium

Kalif Raymond’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+111 / -142
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 31.5
-110 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+380
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Quinshon Judkins’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 55.5
-110 / -114
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 2.5
+150 / -193
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 11.5
-117 / -107
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+130
Anytime Touchdown Props →
NYJ@
CHISun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
PIT@
CLEThu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why Kalif Raymond

Start· medium

Veteran WR3 and slot/return specialist. Undersized speed piece with quickness and punt-return value.

23% target share on a 27.0 implied total backs a 10.1-point projection; neutral NYJ matchup (14 of 32) keeps him a flex-level start.

  • NYJ ranks 14 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 8.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR-3 on the latest depth chart with a 66% snap share.

The call

  • Usage is the driver: a 23% target share over 3 games is strong for a WR-3, though a 66% snap share means he isn't on the field every down.
  • Game environment helps: a 27.0 implied team total and -8.5 spread point to a productive offense. A big lead could shift volume to the run late.
  • Matchup is neutral, not a boost: NYJ ranks 14 of 32 vs WRs, but on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so lean on role over DvP.
  • A 10.1 PPR projection with no injury designation clears typical replacement level in 12-team leagues. The ESPN headline adds no verified news, so confidence stays medium.

Latest on Raymond

How to bet Eagles-Bears on MNF: Analysis, tips and favorite plays

Odds and analysis to help you bet Eagles-Bears on "Monday Night Football."

ESPN · Sep 28, 2026
Kalif Raymond proving to be reliable veteran target for Bears offense

Despite being the Bears' leading receiver in their Week 1 win over the Panthers, Kalif Raymond is focused more on the team's success than his personal stats, saying, "I don’t really look at that stuff ... we won, and that’s all I’m thinking about."

chicagobears.com · Sep 18, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Quinshon Judkins

Start· medium

RB1 and feature back. Powerful one-cut runner with heavy volume and goal-line role.

RB19 workload back: 61% snap share and 18 carries last week outweigh a neutral PIT matchup (17 of 32) and a modest 19.0 team total.

  • PIT ranks 17 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 61% snap share.

The call

  • Role is the driver. A 61% snap share over 3 games and 18 carries last week (ESPN, 2026-10-01) make him the clear lead runner, with no injury designation.
  • At a 12.5-point projection and consensus RB19, he sits inside the RB2 tier in 12-team PPR. A typical replacement-level back won't match that floor.
  • The matchup is neutral. PIT ranks 17 of 32 vs RBs, but on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it shouldn't move the call much either way.
  • The risks are a low 19.0 implied team total, which caps touchdown equity, and an 11% target share that limits PPR upside. He's a volume-based RB2/flex, not a ceiling play. I'm leaning start over the model's toss-up mainly because his rank and workload clear replacement level.

Latest on Judkins

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricKalif RaymondQuinshon Judkins
Projected points
Consensus rank—RB19
Opponent vs positionNYJ · 14 of 323-game samplePIT · 17 of 323-game sample
Receptions20 of 3215 of 32
Receiving Yards4 of 3224 of 32
Receiving TDs15 of 32—
Targets15 of 32—
Anytime TD14 of 3213 of 32
Rushing Yards—21 of 32
Rushing TDs—8 of 32
Rushing Attempts—19 of 32
Target share23%11%
Reception share29%16%
Implied total · spread27.0-8.519.0+2.5
Depth chartWR3RB1
Snap share66%61%
Start/Sit record—0–2

Recent form

Kalif Raymond — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs PHI
Week 2vs MIN
Week 1vs CAR

Quinshon Judkins — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CAR
Week 2vs TB
Week 1vs JAX

Signal breakdown

  • 10.1 vs 12.5 projected PPR pointsQuinshon Judkins +
  • Consensus position rankeven
  • Opponent DvP rank 14 vs 17 (32 = softest)Quinshon Judkins +
  • Implied 27.0 vs 19.0 team pointsKalif Raymond +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 66% vs 61% snap shareKalif Raymond +

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