Juwan Johnson or Ladd McConkey: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Johnson's scoring setup gives him the narrow edge over McConkey

Johnson’s red-zone and intermediate mismatch role makes New Orleans’ stronger scoring outlook especially useful for his position, while Atlanta’s matchup is less restrictive than Seattle’s. McConkey is still a sound START: his primary-target role offers a strong catch-volume path, though the tougher matchup and lower team scoring outlook trim his upside. Johnson gets the nod by a sliver; McConkey’s stronger projection keeps this from being a comfortable call.

What flips it: A clear target-volume advantage for McConkey over Johnson’s red-zone role.

AI editor

Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson

TE16NOvs ATL

Projected Points

Start· medium
Ladd McConkey

Ladd McConkey

WR19LACvs SEA

Projected Points

Start

Juwan Johnson’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-113 / -113
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 40.5
-114 / -114
Receiving Yards Props →

Ladd McConkey’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-157 / +123
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 45.5
-113 / -111
Receiving Yards Props →

Why Juwan Johnson

Start· medium

TE1 and high-volume pass-catcher. Big-bodied converted receiver who is a red-zone and intermediate mismatch.

TE16 at 10.6 projected with a steady 15% target share and 66% snaps; favored offense at 24.0 implied makes him a viable TE1-fringe start.

  • Johnson’s size and red-zone skill give his offense a direct route to turning scoring chances into tight-end production.
  • His steadier snap role supports the call, but he still needs New Orleans to deliver on its scoring outlook.

The call

  • Role is locked in: 66% snap share and 15% target share over 3 games is starter-level usage at a thin position where 10.6 projected PPR clears typical replacement options.
  • Matchup leans favorable at 23 of 32 in DvP composite, but it rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so don't lean on it heavily.
  • Game script is neutral-to-positive: a 24.0 implied team total and -2.5 spread point to steady volume and red-zone chances.
  • The unverified headline about a Saints home loss doesn't change his role; with no injury designation, he's a startable back-end TE1 in 12-team leagues.

Latest on Johnson

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Ladd McConkey

Start

WR1 and primary target. Elite separator from the slot or outside with precise route running.

Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR19: 17% target share, 11.8 PPR projected vs SEA.

  • As the Chargers’ primary target, McConkey can build value through catches even if Seattle limits explosive plays.
  • His higher projection is the clearest countercase; a more pass-heavy script could swing the comparison.

Latest on McConkey

Status

Ladd McConkey was listed on the injury report with a rib injury and cleared to play Week 3.

Chargers.com · Sep 27, 2026

Here is who won't play Sunday for the Chargers against Las Vegas

chargers.com · Sep 20, 2026

Take a look at the Chargers Injury Report ahead of Week 2 against the Raiders

chargers.com · Sep 18, 2026

McConkey did not practice Wednesday or Thursday for the Chargers

chargers.com · Sep 17, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricJuwan JohnsonLadd McConkey
Projected points
Consensus rankTE16WR19
Opponent vs positionATL · 23 of 323-game sampleSEA · 8 of 323-game sample
Receptions22 of 329 of 32
Receiving Yards18 of 321 of 32
Receiving TDs27 of 327 of 32
Targets24 of 3215 of 32
Anytime TD26 of 326 of 32
Target share15%17%
Reception share17%23%
Implied total · spread24.0-2.521.3+3.0
Depth chartTE1WR1
Snap share66%61%
Start/Sit record0–0+3 toss-ups—

Recent form

Juwan Johnson — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LV
Week 2vs BAL
Week 1vs DET

Ladd McConkey — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs BUF
Week 2vs LV
Week 1vs ARI

Signal breakdown

  • 10.6 vs 11.8 projected PPR pointsLadd McConkey +
  • Rank 16 vs 19Juwan Johnson +
  • Opponent DvP rank 23 vs 8 (32 = softest)Juwan Johnson +
  • Implied 24.0 vs 21.3 team pointsJuwan Johnson +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 66% vs 61% snap shareJuwan Johnson +

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