Justice Hill or Mason Taylor: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Hill — the availability and game script edges are too wide to ignore.

Justice Hill is the healthier side of this call (Taylor carries a Questionable tag) and plays in the better game script (28.0 implied team points to 18.5). Taylor's edge is snap share, 66% to 42%. The gap is comfortable.

Justice Hill

Justice Hill

RB51BALvs TEN

Projected Points

Sit
Mason Taylor

Mason Taylor

TENYJvs CHI

Projected Points

Sit

Justice Hill’s market

ATD
Anytime TD
+500
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Mason Taylor’s market

ATD
Anytime TD
+650
Anytime Touchdown Props →
TEN@
BALSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
NYJ@
CHISun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Justice Hill

Sit

Change-of-pace RB2 and passing-down back. Receiving chops and pass protection in third-down packages.

Sit — bench-tier RB at consensus RB51: 4% target share, 5.4 PPR projected vs TEN.

  • TEN ranks 17 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 28.0 team points as 8.5-point favorites.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 42% snap share.

Why Mason Taylor

Sit

Starting TE and ascending pass-catcher. Reliable chain-mover with fluid route feel and every-down usage.

Sit — bench-tier TE, projects TE38 this week: CHI is the 6th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 18.5 implied team total caps the ceiling.

  • Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
  • CHI ranks 6 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 18.5 team points as 8.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 66% snap share.

Latest on Taylor

Notebook | TE Mason Taylor, S Minkah Fitzpatrick and LB Kiko Mauigoa Won't Play vs. Lions

Jets Head Coach: ‘This is Probably One of the Most Explosive Groups We’ll Go Against’

newyorkjets.com · Sep 26, 2026
Jets' No. 1 TE Mason Taylor (thumb) out vs. high-scoring Lions

The Jets will be without No. 1 tight end Mason Taylor (thumb) and safety Minkah Fitzpatrick (groin) when they face the Detroit Lions on Sunday.

ESPN · Sep 25, 2026
Why the Jets feel their tight end room 'is a weapon'

New York deployed its tight ends in a myriad of ways, including a rushing TD by first-round pick Kenyon Sadiq.

ESPN · Sep 17, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricJustice HillMason Taylor
Projected points
Consensus rankRB51—
Opponent vs positionTEN · 17 of 323-game sampleCHI · 6 of 323-game sample
Rushing Yards25 of 32—
Rushing TDs17 of 32—
Rushing Attempts31 of 32—
Receptions6 of 328 of 32
Receiving Yards9 of 3212 of 32
Anytime TD13 of 321 of 32
Receiving TDs—1 of 32
Targets—6 of 32
Target share4%10%
Reception share6%8%
Implied total · spread28.0-8.518.5+8.5
Depth chartRB2TE2
Snap share42%66%
Injury designation—Questionable
Start/Sit record—1–0

Recent form

Justice Hill — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DAL
Week 2vs NO
Week 1vs IND

Mason Taylor — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DETDNP
Week 2vs GB
Week 1vs TEN

Signal breakdown

  • 5.4 vs 3.9 projected PPR pointsJustice Hill +
  • Consensus position rankeven
  • Opponent DvP rank 17 vs 6 (32 = softest)Justice Hill +
  • Implied 28.0 vs 18.5 team pointsJustice Hill +
  • no designation vs QuestionableJustice Hill +
  • 42% vs 66% snap shareMason Taylor +

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