Jake Ferguson or Quinshon Judkins: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Ferguson’s scoring setup meets Judkins’ feature-back workload
Judkins’ rushing and goal-line role gives him the stronger standard- and half-PPR case, while Ferguson’s better scoring environment and stronger standing at tight end counter it in PPR. Ferguson’s receiving role could turn Dallas’ scoring chances into useful catches, but his modest target share leaves little margin if he misses the end zone. Judkins has the steadier path through volume, though Cleveland’s lower scoring outlook limits how often that workload pays off.
What flips it: A clear increase in Ferguson’s target share would give him a stronger PPR case.
AI editor
In standard and half-PPR scoring this flips to Judkins.
Jake Ferguson
4.66.38.1 Projected Points
Quinshon Judkins
10.311.412.5 Projected Points
Jake Ferguson’s market
Quinshon Judkins’s market
Why Jake Ferguson
Toss-Up· lowTE1 and high-volume receiving tight end. Reliable chain-mover and red-zone target over the middle.
TE12 at 8.1 projected in a neutral matchup (HOU 14 of 32); 11% target share caps the ceiling at a streamable position.
- Dallas’ stronger scoring outlook gives Ferguson’s red-zone receiving role a plausible path to a touchdown.
- The risk: his chain-moving role needs a scoring play to overcome limited target volume.
The call
- Ranked TE12 with an 8.1-point PPR projection, Ferguson sits right on the start/sit line in 12-team leagues, so he is a borderline TE1 at best.
- The matchup is neutral: Houston ranks 14 of 32 vs tight ends, but on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it offers no real edge either way.
- His role is steady, with a 68% snap share and no injury designation, but an 11% target share limits his PPR volume. A 22.5 implied team total supports only modest scoring chances.
- What tips it: start him if your alternative is a streamer projected below 8.1 or lacks a locked-in role. Sit him for any TE with a clearly softer matchup or a bigger target share.
Latest on Ferguson
Prescott passed Tony Romo in the record book, so we bring you the best moments from those who helped him make history.
The first matchup of the 2026 season between the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders is littered with headlines as the bitter rivals square off to ruin the other's week.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Quinshon Judkins
Toss-UpRB1 and feature back. Powerful one-cut runner with heavy volume and goal-line role.
Toss-up — RB19 consensus, projects RB23 this week: 19.0 implied team total caps the ceiling, 11% target share.
- Judkins’ feature-back and goal-line duties give him a route to value even if Cleveland’s passing game stalls.
- His lower-scoring team environment narrows the touchdown runway that makes his workload most valuable.
Latest on Judkins
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jake Ferguson | Quinshon Judkins |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 4.66.38.1 | 10.311.412.5 |
| Consensus rank | TE12 | RB19 |
| Opponent vs position | HOU · 14 of 323-game sample | PIT · 17 of 323-game sample |
| Receptions | 22 of 32 | 15 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 29 of 32 | 24 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 1 of 32 | — |
| Targets | 15 of 32 | — |
| Anytime TD | 1 of 32 | 13 of 32 |
| Rushing Yards | — | 21 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | — | 8 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | — | 19 of 32 |
| Target share | 11% | 11% |
| Reception share | 12% | 16% |
| Implied total · spread | 22.5+2.5 | 19.0+2.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | RB1 |
| Snap share | 68% | 61% |
| Start/Sit record | 1–1+2 toss-ups | 0–2 |
Recent form
Jake Ferguson — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs BAL | 6.37.89.3 |
| Week 2 | vs WSH | 16.318.320.3 |
| Week 1 | vs NYG | 0.61.62.6 |
Quinshon Judkins — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs CAR | 7.98.99.9 |
| Week 2 | vs TB | 4.87.39.8 |
| Week 1 | vs JAX | 5.06.07.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 8.1 vs 12.5 projected PPR pointsQuinshon Judkins +
- Rank 12 vs 19Jake Ferguson +
- Opponent DvP rank 14 vs 17 (32 = softest)Quinshon Judkins +
- Implied 22.5 vs 19.0 team pointsJake Ferguson +
- No injury designationseven
- 68% vs 61% snap shareJake Ferguson +
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More Ferguson comparisons
More Judkins comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs PHI
C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARI
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARID. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CIN
- B. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CINB. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GB
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GBD. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DALR. StevensonRhamondre StevensonRBNEvs BUF
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHID. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs NE
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs NEC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TB
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TBP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CINM. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
- M. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYGS. DiggsStefon DiggsWRWSHvs IND
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs NO
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DENS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CAR
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CART. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TB
- T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TBT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LV
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LVJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOU
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOUI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs ARI
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CIN
B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DEN
- B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DENP. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LV
- P. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LVM. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHI
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHIK. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs MIA
- K. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs MIAT. ShoughTyler ShoughQBNOvs ATL
- T. ShoughTyler ShoughQBNOvs ATLJ. GoffJared GoffQBDETvs CAR
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs LV
T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TEN
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TENW. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIA
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIAE. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAX
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAXC. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs GB
- C. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs GBT. SmackTrey SmackKGBvs TB
- T. SmackTrey SmackKGBvs TBS. ShraderSpencer ShraderKINDvs WSH
- Vikings D/STVikings D/STDSTMINvs MIA
Browns D/STBrowns D/STDSTCLEvs PIT
- Browns D/STBrowns D/STDSTCLEvs PITBills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NE
- Bills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NECommanders D/STCommanders D/STDSTWSHvs IND
- Commanders D/STCommanders D/STDSTWSHvs INDPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TB
- Packers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TBBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJ
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJGiants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs ARI
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARIP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TBJ. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs CLE
- J. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs CLEJ. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs DET
- J. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs DETG. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEND. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJT. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
- J. DownsJosh DownsWRINDvs WSH
D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL - D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DALM. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
Get a Start/Sit call on your whole roster →
Save your team once and see a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up verdict on every player, every week — with the matchup, usage and game-script evidence behind each call.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.