Jacoby Brissett or Matthew Stafford: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Stafford — the game script and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Matthew Stafford plays in the better game script (24.5 implied team points to 19.3) and projects 16.5 to Brissett's 16.0. Brissett's edge is the matchup, 18 of 32 to 11. The gap is narrow.

Jacoby Brissett
16.016.016.0 Projected Points

Matthew Stafford
16.516.516.5 Projected Points
Jacoby Brissett’s market
Matthew Stafford’s market
Why Jacoby Brissett
Toss-Up· lowStarting QB and veteran steady hand. Pocket passer with sturdy build and low-turnover, game-manager profile; carried a full starter's workload in 2025.
15.9 projection sits on the QB1 fringe; a neutral NYG matchup (19 of 32) and a modest 19.3 implied total don't push him either way.
- NYG ranks 18 of 32 against QBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 19.3 team points as 7.0-point underdogs.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 100% snap share.
The call
- The 15.9 PPR projection is streamer territory. It's playable, but most 12-team rosters carry a QB with a steadier floor.
- The NYG matchup grades as neutral at 19 of 32 in DvP. That rests on only a 3-game sample at 0.25 confidence, so it's a weak signal in either direction.
- His offense's 19.3 implied total caps the touchdown upside. If the 7.0 spread means he's the underdog, though, a trailing script could add pass volume and garbage-time production.
- He has no injury designation and holds the starting QB slot. Start him if your regular QB is on bye or you play superflex; in a standard league, a QB projected well above 15.9 is the better play.
Latest on Brissett
Josh Weinfuss highlights the longtime friendship between Jacoby Brissett and Jameis Winston ahead of Sunday's matchup.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Matthew Stafford
Toss-Up· lowVeteran starting QB and offensive centerpiece. Reigning NFL MVP who led the league with 4,707 passing yards and 46 touchdowns in 2025.
QB14 at 16.4 projected sits right on the 12-team starter line; a 24.5 implied total helps, but an 11-of-32 PHI matchup leans tough.
- PHI ranks 11 of 32 against QBs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 95% snap share.
The call
- Consensus QB14 with a 16.4-point projection puts Stafford just outside QB1 territory in 12-team leagues. He's a borderline play who hinges on what you'd start instead.
- Game environment is solid: a 24.5 implied team total and a -1.5 spread point to a competitive game with steady passing volume rather than a run-heavy script.
- The matchup leans tough at 11 of 32 vs QBs, but it rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it shouldn't carry much weight either way.
- No injury designation; the headlines are a music-video cameo and a podium preview, with no role or health signal. Start him if your alternative ranks outside the top 15. Sit him for a steady top-12 option.
Latest on Stafford
Why, yes, that was Matthew Stafford. Here's why all signs pointed to the reigning NFL MVP's music video cameo.
Rams head coach Sean McVay, quarterback Matthew Stafford, wide receivers Davante Adams and Puka Nacua, coordinators share their thoughts on playing against the Eagles in Week 4.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jacoby Brissett | Matthew Stafford |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 16.016.016.0 | 16.516.516.5 |
| Consensus rank | — | QB14 |
| Opponent vs position | NYG · 18 of 323-game sample | PHI · 11 of 323-game sample |
| Passing Yards | 16 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Passing TDs | 25 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Passing Completions | 24 of 32 | 3 of 32 |
| Passing Attempts | 21 of 32 | 8 of 32 |
| Interceptions | 6 of 32 | 29 of 32 |
| Implied total · spread | 19.3+7.0 | 24.5-1.5 |
| Depth chart | QB1 | QB1 |
| Snap share | 100% | 95% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+1 toss-up | 1–1+2 toss-ups |
Recent form
Jacoby Brissett — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs SF | 25.625.625.6 |
| Week 2 | vs SEA | 6.56.56.5 |
| Week 1 | vs LAC | 16.516.516.5 |
Matthew Stafford — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs DEN | 20.920.920.9 |
| Week 2 | vs NYG | 27.027.027.0 |
| Week 1 | vs SF | 4.14.14.1 |
Signal breakdown
- 16.0 vs 16.5 projected PPR pointsMatthew Stafford +
- Consensus position rankeven
- Opponent DvP rank 18 vs 11 (32 = softest)Jacoby Brissett +
- Implied 19.3 vs 24.5 team pointsMatthew Stafford +
- No injury designationseven
- 100% vs 95% snap shareJacoby Brissett +
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More Brissett comparisons
More Stafford comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs PHI
Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs PIT
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs PIT
C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARI
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARI
D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
B. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CIN
- B. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CIN
B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GB
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GB
D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
L. Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWRCHIvs NYJ
- L. Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWRCHIvs NYJ
C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TB
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TB
P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
M. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
- M. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
S. DiggsStefon DiggsWRWSHvs IND
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs NO
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CAR
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CAR
T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TB
- T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TB
T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LV
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LV
J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOU
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOU
I. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs ARI
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs HOU
T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CIN
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CIN
B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DEN
- B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DEN
P. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LV
- P. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LV
B. NixBo NixQBDENvs SF
- B. NixBo NixQBDENvs SF
M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHI
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHI
K. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs MIA
- K. FairbairnKa'imi FairbairnKHOUvs DAL
H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs LV
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs LV
T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TEN
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TEN
C. SantosCairo SantosKCHIvs NYJ
- C. SantosCairo SantosKCHIvs NYJ
W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIA
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIA
E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAX
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAX
S. ShraderSpencer ShraderKINDvs WSH
- Commanders D/STCommanders D/STDSTWSHvs IND
Bills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NE
- Bills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NE
Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJ
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJ
Packers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TB
- Packers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TB
Giants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs ARI
- Giants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs ARI
Buccaneers D/STBuccaneers D/STDSTTBvs GB
- Buccaneers D/STBuccaneers D/STDSTTBvs GB
49ers D/ST49ers D/STDSTSFvs DEN
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARI
P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TB
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
- J. DownsJosh DownsWRINDvs WSH
D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL
M. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
- J. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs DET
K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs PHI
Get a Start/Sit call on your whole roster →
Save your team once and see a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up verdict on every player, every week — with the matchup, usage and game-script evidence behind each call.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.



