Texans D/ST or Seahawks D/ST: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Seattle's home edge comes with the better script; Houston needs Buffalo to cooperate
Start Seahawks D/ST: the lower-scoring opponent and Seattle's stronger pressure outlook create a sturdier path to splash plays than Houston has against Buffalo. Houston's higher turnover rate allowed is its real counter, but Buffalo's offensive ceiling makes those chances less dependable, while Seattle's home favorite script supports a safer floor. This is not a runaway call, but the separation is meaningful for a D/ST, where sacks and points allowed can swing the week.
What flips it: A sharp rise in New England's implied total.
AI editor
Texans D/ST
5.25.25.2 Projected Points
Seahawks D/ST
7.47.47.4 Projected Points
Why Texans D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 15): 5.2 pts projected vs BUF.
- Houston's best route is Buffalo mistakes; the matchup offers little margin if those chances do not arrive.
Why Seahawks D/ST
StartStart — the No. 4 defensive matchup this week: 7.4 pts projected vs NE.
- Seattle can win without a turnover: pressure and a lower opponent scoring expectation provide multiple scoring paths.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Texans D/ST | Seahawks D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.25.25.2 | 7.47.47.4 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST15 | Proj.DST4 |
| Started in | 86% of leagues | 92% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.9(2025) | 3.0(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.1(2025) | 0.9(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 23.5 | 20.5 |
| Home / away | Home | Home |
Signal breakdown
- 5.2 vs 7.4 projected PPR pointsSeahawks D/ST +
- Started rank 5 vs 1 (86% vs 92% of leagues)Seahawks D/ST +
- 2.9 sacks / 1.1 TO vs 3.0 sacks / 0.9 TO per game allowedTexans D/ST +
- Opponent implied 23.5 vs 20.5 pointsSeahawks D/ST +
- Home vs Homeeven
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More D/ST comparisons
More D/ST comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. Walker IIIKenneth Walker IIIRBKCvs DEN
K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SF
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SFC. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DAL
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DALJ. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NE
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NED. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUF
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUFM. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- M. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MINR. StevensonRhamondre StevensonRBNEvs SEA
- J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOUC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MIN
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MINP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLEM. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs LAR
- M. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs LARM. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MIN
- M. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MINQ. JohnstonQuentin JohnstonWRLACvs ARI
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PIT
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PITD. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSHM. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs IND
- M. AndrewsMark AndrewsTEBALvs INDT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEN
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DENJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYG
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYGI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs DAL
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs SF
J. DanielsJayden DanielsQBWSHvs PHI
- J. DanielsJayden DanielsQBWSHvs PHID. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYG
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYGT. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLE
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLEC. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CAR
- C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CARD. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEA
- D. MayeDrake MayeQBNEvs SEAK. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs GB
- C. DickerCameron DickerKLACvs ARI
E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LAR
- E. PineiroEddy PineiroKSFvs LARE. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TB
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TBT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs IND
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs INDW. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GB
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs GBH. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DEN
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DENC. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs CIN
- Jaguars D/STJaguars D/STDSTJAXvs CLE
Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARI
- Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARITitans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJ
- Titans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJJets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TEN
- Jets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TENEagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSH
- Eagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSHBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CAR
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CARPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs MIN
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CIN
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO - D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOUT. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJ
- T. PollardTony PollardRBTENvs NYJS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NOC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MIN
- M. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs MIND. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSHP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CLE
- M. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs LARK. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PIT
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PITQ. JohnstonQuentin JohnstonWRLACvs ARI
Want full matchup analysis & AI picks? →
Save your roster and get a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up call on every player, every week — plus prop pages, matchup data, and AI-powered NFL analysis.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.