Harold Fannin Jr. or Terrance Ferguson: Who Should You Start?

Historical comparison from 2026 Week 4 — one of these players isn’t on the current board.

Start Fannin — the availability and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Harold Fannin Jr. is the healthier side of this call (Ferguson carries a Doubtful tag) and projects 11.2 to Ferguson's 7.5. Ferguson's edge is the game script, 24.5 implied points to 19.0. The gap is wide.

Harold Fannin Jr.

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE5CLEvs PIT

Projected Points

Start
Terrance Ferguson

Terrance Ferguson

TE22LARvs PHI

Projected Points

Sit· high
PIT@
CLEThu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
LAR@
PHISun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Harold Fannin Jr.

Start

TE1 and high-volume receiving target. Move tight end and mismatch chess piece with YAC ability.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE5: PIT is the 7th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 19.0 implied team total caps the ceiling.

  • PIT ranks 7 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 85% snap share.

Latest on Fannin

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Terrance Ferguson

Sit· high

Second-year TE2 and athletic receiving option. Explosive seam threat with big-play efficiency and red-zone scoring value behind the starter.

Listed doubtful with a medial ankle sprain and reported expected to miss Week 4 at PHI; even healthy, TE22 in a 3-of-32 matchup.

  • Listed Doubtful on the latest report — rarely plays through that tag.
  • PHI ranks 3 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 45% snap share.

The call

  • Availability is the driver: status is D (doubtful), and Yahoo Sports (2026-09-29) reports he sustained a medial ankle sprain in Week 3 and is expected to miss the Eagles game. A therams.com headline says McVay called him likely out, though that headline is unverified.
  • Even if he suits up, the profile is thin: 45% snap share and 11% target share over 3 games put him in a part-time role behind a TE22 consensus rank and 7.5 projected PPR points.
  • The matchup offers no rescue. PHI grades 3 of 32 against tight ends, though that rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence.
  • The 24.5 implied team total and -1.5 spread are neutral and don't offset the injury risk. Grab a healthy streamer instead of risking a zero from a doubtful player.

Latest on Ferguson

Status

Ferguson sustained a medial ankle sprain in Week 3 and is expected to miss the Week 4 game against the Philadelphia Eagles.

Yahoo Sports · Sep 29, 2026
Injury Updates: McVay says Terrance Ferguson (ankle) and Jaylen Watson (shoulder) likely out for Week 4 at Eagles; latest on Colby Parkinson (shoulder) and Puka Nacua (hip)

Rams head coach Sean McVay discusses the latest injury updates on tight ends Terrance Ferguson (ankle) and Colby Parkinson (shoulder), as well as cornerback Jaylen Watson (shoulder) coming out of Sunday Night Football against the Broncos, as well as wide receiver Puka Nacua's (hip) status

therams.com · Sep 28, 2026
How to bet Rams-Broncos on 'SNF': Analysis, tips and favorite plays

Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Rams-Broncos on "Sunday Night Football."

ESPN · Sep 27, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricHarold Fannin Jr.Terrance Ferguson
Projected points
Consensus rankTE5TE22
Opponent vs positionPIT · 7 of 323-game samplePHI · 3 of 323-game sample
Receptions2 of 326 of 32
Receiving Yards10 of 325 of 32
Receiving TDs10 of 321 of 32
Targets2 of 323 of 32
Anytime TD9 of 321 of 32
Target share22%11%
Reception share25%10%
Implied total · spread19.0+2.524.5-1.5
Depth chartTE1TE2
Snap share85%45%
Injury designation—Doubtful
Start/Sit record—0–0+1 toss-up

Recent form

Harold Fannin Jr. — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CAR
Week 2vs TB
Week 1vs JAX

Terrance Ferguson — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DEN
Week 2vs NYG
Week 1vs SF

Signal breakdown

  • 11.2 vs 7.5 projected PPR pointsHarold Fannin Jr. +
  • Rank 5 vs 22Harold Fannin Jr. +
  • Opponent DvP rank 7 vs 3 (32 = softest)Harold Fannin Jr. +
  • Implied 19.0 vs 24.5 team pointsTerrance Ferguson +
  • no designation vs DoubtfulHarold Fannin Jr. +
  • 85% vs 45% snap shareHarold Fannin Jr. +

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