Gunnar Helm or Makai Lemon: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Helm’s steadier role beats Lemon’s stronger game environment

Helm’s established starting role gives him a sturdier path to involvement than Lemon’s rotational WR-3 usage, even with the less favorable scoring outlook. Their projections are effectively level, and position-specific ranks do not make Helm’s advantage as large as the rank gap suggests; his steadier role is the better separator. Lemon’s stronger team scoring outlook, close game script and yards-after-catch ability keep him in the conversation, but his role is the bigger weekly risk. Helm wins this comparison, though his board verdict remains SIT rather than a recommendation to force him into your lineup.

What flips it: A sustained move into Philadelphia’s primary receiver rotation for Lemon.

AI editor

Gunnar Helm

Gunnar Helm

TE24TENvs BAL

Projected Points

Sit
Makai Lemon

Makai Lemon

WR50PHIvs LAR

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Gunnar Helm’s market

REC
O/U 2.5
-140 / +110
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 18.5
-107 / -117
Receiving Yards Props →

Makai Lemon’s market

REC
O/U 2.5
-168 / +131
REC YDS
O/U 29.5
-112 / -112
ATD
Anytime TD
+500

Why Gunnar Helm

Sit

Starting TE and volume underneath target. Reliable seam and checkdown option with developing in-line blocking.

Sit — bench-tier TE at consensus TE24: 14% target share, 7.1 PPR projected vs BAL.

  • Helm’s starting role offers a more dependable route to involvement than a part-time slot role.
  • Tennessee’s scoring outlook limits how much that steadier involvement can pay off.

Why Makai Lemon

Toss-Up

Rookie WR3 in slot-heavy role. Quick separator with reliable hands and yards-after-catch juice.

Toss-up — WR50 consensus, projects WR66 this week: 11% target share, 7.5 PPR projected vs LAR.

  • A tighter game script and better scoring environment give Lemon more room for a splash play.
  • His quick separation and YAC ability create upside, but the WR-3 role makes it less dependable.

Head-to-head stats

MetricGunnar HelmMakai Lemon
Projected points
Consensus rankTE24WR50
Opponent vs positionBAL · 14 of 323-game sampleLAR · 12 of 323-game sample
Receptions11 of 321 of 32
Receiving Yards14 of 326 of 32
Receiving TDs18 of 3224 of 32
Targets9 of 324 of 32
Anytime TD18 of 3224 of 32
Target share14%11%
Reception share15%13%
Implied total · spread19.5+8.523.0+1.5
Depth chartTE1WR3
Snap share82%66%
Start/Sit record—0–1

Recent form

Gunnar Helm — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs NYG
Week 2vs PHI
Week 1vs NYJ

Makai Lemon — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs CHI
Week 2vs TEN
Week 1vs WSH

Signal breakdown

  • 7.1 vs 7.5 projected PPR pointsMakai Lemon +
  • Rank 24 vs 50Gunnar Helm +
  • Opponent DvP rank 14 vs 12 (32 = softest)Gunnar Helm +
  • Implied 19.5 vs 23.0 team pointsMakai Lemon +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 82% vs 66% snap shareGunnar Helm +

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