Dontayvion Wicks or Luther Burden III: Who Should You Start?

Historical comparison from 2026 Week 3 — one of these players isn’t on the current board.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Dontayvion Wicks and Luther Burden III grade out even this week. Wicks's best edge is snap share (77% to 65%), Burden's best edge is the projection (11.2 to 9.9) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Dontayvion Wicks

Dontayvion Wicks

WRPHIvs CHI

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III

WR27CHIvs PHI

Projected Points

Toss-Up
PHI@
CHIMon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETView the game →
PHI@
CHIMon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why Dontayvion Wicks

Toss-Up

WR2 with size and vertical ability. Field-stretching outside target with contested-catch upside.

Toss-up — projects WR48 this week: CHI is the 10th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 18% target share.

  • CHI ranks 10 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 22.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 77% snap share.

Why Luther Burden III

Toss-Up

WR2 and outside starter opposite Rome Odunze. Explosive yards-after-catch threat with manufactured-touch usage.

Toss-up — WR27 consensus, projects WR37 this week: PHI is the 10th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 24.0 implied team total.

  • PHI ranks 10 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.0 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 65% snap share.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDontayvion WicksLuther Burden III
Projected points
Consensus rank—WR27
Opponent vs positionCHI · 10 of 322-game samplePHI · 10 of 322-game sample
Receptions1 of 326 of 32
Receiving Yards17 of 3213 of 32
Receiving TDs14 of 3214 of 32
Targets6 of 324 of 32
Anytime TD13 of 3213 of 32
Target share18%21%
Reception share18%20%
Implied total · spread22.5+1.524.0-1.5
Depth chartWR2WR2
Snap share77%65%
Start/Sit record0–0+1 toss-up0–1

Recent form

Dontayvion Wicks — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs TEN
Week 1vs WSH

Luther Burden III — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs MIN
Week 1vs CAR

Signal breakdown

  • 9.9 vs 11.2 projected PPR pointsLuther Burden III +
  • Consensus position rankeven
  • Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 10 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 22.5 vs 24.0 team pointsLuther Burden III +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 77% vs 65% snap shareDontayvion Wicks +

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